/qrb/ - QResearch Bunker

Watching today unfold like....

нен

>>148298

UK phonefag here. Not sure why I was not prompted with a captcha challenge for previous post. Perhaps it is coz earlier I used the [RETURN] posting mode a few minutes ago to post in UK bred.

Please let management know about the captcha prompt screen not scrolling down to the ‘let me post’ button. Tyvm.

God Save the Queen. 🇬🇧

>>148303

>i8? They make i8s now?

A gentleman wears only a discreetly pocketable phone on his person, and not one so large require parachute pants or an external phone holster to do so.

(Gentlemen don’t wear parachute pants. And phone holsters? Really?

Be back when they figure it out about this site. Do they really need to appear weak? HERE? After supposedly speaking truth to power so much here? But muh site is so weak. Really? Would it hurt to have a bullet-proof site that noone could figure out how to attack it? It would be like the question none dared to ask.

UK anon going fishing til the people upstairs decide to stop playing. Too hard to post now for this phonefag. But who am I? Just an anon. Not the best. Not the worst. Never been Qd and not likely to be.

PlanefagEurope-Med-Gulf: US Navy P-8 Poseidon in the Baltic Sea already ran up to west of Estonia now running patterns west of Kaliningrad-red dot-Obviously dis RAF pilot don't like 45 with SNAKE54(mirror) Super King Air 350-line green dot-on ground at Aberdeen Int'l-about 50 miles from Balmoral Castle-departed Belfast, German AF GAF847 arrived at Tel Aviv-yellow dot under the Dutch MRTT-from Berlin depart (this # used by the last FM Heiko Maas) and they are pulling the "visit to Kyiv" shit again-don't you beleebs it-it's all green-screened and fake and that this AC is using the same callsign # as the previous FM is pretty telling that they could be doing it anywhere at this point-the appearances 'at Rzesow' by the Foreign visitors just doesn't werk any longer

This time "by train" so they are at least trying to make it 'appear' believable

German Foreign Minister Makes Second Wartime Trip To Ukraine

https://www.rferl.org/a/german-foreign-minister-second-wartime-trip-ukraine/32027492.html

Haz a German AF GAF604 that left Baden Airport-just east of Strasbourg France back to Berlin-dropped off someone (either FM BAERbock-or she in Tel Aviv or some other German Minister)

Got a few Greyhounds RG03/04 heading to Sigonella AB, Sicily from a flat top in the Adriatic (west of Albania), Hungarian AF HUAF667 Falcon 7X heading to Dubrovnik from Budapest, HK155 USAF C-130 Hercules west from Rzesow load out of about 2h 20minutes-clean shirts and new man-girdle fer Zelensky, French CTM2042 A400m dropped some clean undies and The Italians IAM468 C-130 dropped off some socks, Dutch AF MMF08 A330 MRTT left Kuala-Lumpur after an overnight and NW over SA, Czech AF CEF585 A310 west from Bishkek Stanstanistan on ground at Baku, Canklestan, RCH817 C-5 Galaxy departed Erbil, Iraq after arriving yesterday from Rota, Spain

Planefag:CONUS Activity- Brazilian AF BRS056 Embraer 135heading to Dulles from Teterboro, NJ TEAL81,82 and 83 WC-130 Hercules 'Hurricane Hunters' NW from US Virgin Islands-Frederickstad departure back to Biloxi, USAFSOC 12-3040 'Special Ops' departed Tallahassee Int'l Airport WN, TEFLN21 USAF DC-10 extender over Potato 'at Delaware'-and MONEY01 C-130 Hercules out and back to New Castle Cty Airport (Delaware ANG stationed here), 00000000 USAF B-52 Stratofortress east after a run over Texas-from Barksdale AFB-looks like an Airshow as it dropped to 3k ft now back up @ 25k and same callsign east from Tinker AFB OKC

This is all part of the Vatican repatriation announcement..they do not want a solution here but talking about one makes it look good-they are backstopped by Italian Gov't...this is either the oldest or second oldest bank still in existence today (depends on who you believe or source)

Paschi CEO Intensifies Meetings to Seek Capital Hike Investors

Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA Chief Executive Officer Luigi Lovaglio is intensifying meetings to convince investors to subscribe to a key 2.5 billion euros ($2.5 billion) capital increase, the executive said in an interview with Milano Finanza. The Siena-based lender is seeking to raise new equity and cut about 4,000 jobs as part of a plan to boost capital reserves and profitability. Lovaglio has reworked the bank’s strategy after the Italian government failed to comply with an EU requirement that it exit its stake by the end of last year.

Among the options the CEO is reviewing to raise money is to find an anchor investor, he said in the interview, without elaborating. Paschi dropped to a record low on Tuesday after a press report that banks arranging its vital capital increase are pushing for a delay until next year because of market conditions. Monte Paschi said in July that it seeks to start the capital hike by mid-October to complete it by Nov. 12, though the timeline may change depending on market conditions. The bank can sell shares in tranches to facilitate the process. Italy has already committed to subscribe to its 64% holding.

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/paschi-ceo-intensifies-meetings-to-seek-capital-hike-investors-1.1816996

French AF FAF4053 NC-135 'Nuke Sniffer'-they bought this from us many years ago as it was our 'nuke sniffer' and aerial test bed for many other programs out of Big Crow Program until the Constant Phoeinx program became active

A 'new' constant Phoenix was just delivered on July 12th to Lincoln Muni and the45th Reconnaissance Squadron in support of the 21st Surveillance Squadron, Detachment 1 global mission-a 'new' Constant Phoenix aka Nuke sniffer so this make three (and 2 moar coming). Air Force is modifying KC-135R Stratotankers to replace the aging WC-135C/W fleet.

>>142861 pb SAM476 USAF G5 back at JBA after a 50 minute stop at Eppley Field-Omaha- 45th Recon. Squad got a new Constant Phoenix 'Nuke Sniffer' SHINR40plus Offutt AFB runway update

The public ain't buying this continuing to boil into hot water, in public, 'problem' the LDP haz with being controlled by the Kharzarian Mafia's (NaZi) Unification Church-and remember Abe's assassins' mother went bankrupt donating to it and took his actions based on that-that is the story they tell us

Op Ed: LDP survey on lawmakers' Unification Church ties far from sufficient

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has released the results of an in-house survey on lawmakers' ties with the Unification Church, formally known as the Family Federation for World Peace and Unification. The survey outcome has further brought the depth and width of the problem into sharp relief. Altogether, 179 members nearly half of all LDP legislators had some kind of connection with the religious group. Of these, the LDP released the names of 121 Diet members who had attended the church's meetings or had had other forms of contact. Among them were LDP policy chief Koichi Hagiuda and senior administration officials including economic revitalization minister Daishiro Yamagiwa.

https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20220910/p2a/00m/0op/017000c

ALMUG16 USAF E-4B Nightwatch switched on @ Wright-Patterson AFB

Almug:Tree; Hiram brought from Ophir (modern day SA on Red Sea-so 'they say') for the use of Solomon in making pillars for the temple and his own house...while others (including this PF) think the tree was Indian red sandal-wood-from eastern India. The 'academics' place Ophir in SW Saudi Arabia and although geography was way different back then I doubt this is where King Soloman got what he was getting from "Ophir" located there-muh belief is it was in Eastern India-because they would have gone there way moar than once"every three years"

US Navy AE6834 P-8 Poseidon with some werk around the Portland, ME with Brunswick Exec Airport in the center of that circle-then up the coast on NE /SW tracking-4th run on current trace

Polish AF PLF105 G5 NE from Savannah-Hilton Head Int'l Airport-been there since 0903-cap #3 is earlier

one is haunted by thoughts of home

and an pain that will not be assuaged

wuтđo

one is haunted by thoughts of home

and an pain that will not be assuaged

wuтđo

sometime it werk

sometime it don't

Lather,rinse Repeat..these markets are so thin they need to jaw-bone it down and that attracts the short-bus and how many times are ya gonna fall for this as when you finally realize that leverage (up to 300:1 in some cases-look at just the energy traders who are short-how'd that work out for them and the average customer..I'd say rather well for the traders and pretty shitty for the customers) needs constant "UP"-sideways or pauses don't cut it' and the hedge-funds are only habby to take yer money

Forced Buying Puts a Floor Under Stocks Nobody Else Wants to Own

In a week that saw discretionary buyers beat a quick retreat from risky assets, another set of traders stood up to halt a three-week plunge in the S&P 500: those with little choice but to buy. They included short sellers, whose rush to cover lifted stocks they’re betting against to gains of more than twice the market’s. Options dealers were another bullish force after getting caught needing to boost hedges by buying stocks when they rise. Certain quantitative traders for whom chart thresholds are a call to action also made their presence known. (These so-called quantitative traders are ALL the same they are afraid they might miss something so instead of looking for what is really going on they HAVE to do something and never realize that doing nuthing IS something when you are betting against: record share buybacks, the already mentioned over-leveraged hedge-funds, a Federal Reserve that states that it "hates this rally" yet it make sure they don't have to overtly bail out any one place at a time ala 2007-2009 so they just hide it all in the daily NYFRB Operations and you FOREX traders?...you play in a $6T a day arena and you continually get yer ass handed to ya (retail-flows say most of you are not doing very well) yet they just HAVE to so something so they will always be on the wrong side if you constantly think you are missing something)

At the center of the bounce is the battle line of 3,900, which acted as a support in mid-May and then kept a lid on advances briefly in June and July. After managing to close above the threshold during a retreat Tuesday, the S&P 500 embarked on a three-day rally. (technical trading on a large scale and being consistently profitable doing it using that solely 'left' the bldg Elvis style in late 2012 so although there are opportunities doing that they are like picking up nickels in front of a steam-roller) Short sellers, whose wagers looked prescient during the 2022 bear market, were caught wrong-footed as stocks bounced back. The need to cut losses forced an unwind that led to an 8.2% jump in a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. basket of the most-shorted stocks over the week. Technically driven demand defied the growing drumbeat of Wall Street warnings and overshadowed what’s increasingly a bearish army of fundamental-based investors. This year, cash holdings have risen in mutual funds, and hedge funds’ equity exposure hit multi-year lows.

Now, retail investors, one of the staunchest dip buyers in the post-pandemic era, are reconsidering their bullish stance. During the week through Tuesday, they sold stocks for the first time since June, according to a JPMorgan Chase & Co. estimate derived from public data on exchanges. Meanwhile, more than $10 billion was pulled out of equity funds, data compiled by EPFR Global show.

(The system KNOWS this all too well and uses it against them time and time again AND it costs less and less for them to trigger the short bus-this is what has fueled the rallies this year) Buffeted by conflicting narratives, stock moves have made market timing all but impossible. After suffering the worst first half in five decades, the S&P 500 recouped half its bear-market decline during a two-month, 17% rally from mid-June. Once the bounce hit a wall at its 200-day average in August, the index quickly reversed its course and lost almost 10% before this week’s rebound.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-09/forced-buying-puts-a-floor-under-stocks-nobody-else-wants-to-own

(Completely fueled by the FRB ignoring any semblance of inflation for how long? and now they actually believe the FRB are gonna contain it with bigger and moar rate hikes?-they are done with the big ones frens-they have already "killed the up button" on the housing market and they can't afford that for very much longer becasue they (NYFRB) are still buying close to $1B in Mortgage-backed Securities each and every week-watch what they do next week and it may not 'adjust' right away but they will NOT be raising rates 75bp even though they "talk" a lot about it-think about how much "talk" that inflation wasn't ever gonna be an issue "it's transient"-Janet Yellen, Jerry Powell and every single economist in the FIN MSM last year...apply that to the current rhetoric of rate raises)

night

morning

Planefag:Europe Activity

SPICY41 and 42 USAF B-52 from RAF Fairford over just west of Frankfurt-yesterdays fren-the other BUFF-had engine trubs and went back Tail #60-00023@23k ft

NATO11 E-3 Sentry AWACS tracking over Luxembourg with French AF FAF4130 A330 heading to Luxembourg Airport from a fly by at Brest Airport in NW France-see cap #2 for close-up

SPAR86 USAF G5 NATO AC EN from Chievres AB -looks like it is going to Riga and @ 41k ft (SPICY is 41)

Turkish AF TUAF368 A400m ES from Ostrava, Czech Republic stop of about 1h45min

Hungarian AF PUMA 11 Gripen 39 out of Kecskemet AB over eastern Czech Republic

As mortgage rates rise people pull homes off of market waiting for lower rates (and higher prices)-good luck with that as we've shown the NYFRB is actively managing rates upwards on a daily basis with the Securities Lending Ops and the MBS purchases are not dropping 30 year rates either....at 14 year highs

2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in August

This is the second look at local markets in August. I’m tracking about 35 local housing markets in the US. Some of the 35 markets are states, and some are metropolitan areas. I’ll update these tables throughout the month as additional data is released.

The big story for August existing home sales is the sharp year-over-year (YoY) decline in sales. Another key story is that new listings are down YoY in August as the sellers’ strike continues. Of course, active listings are up sharply YoY, but inventory growth has stalled. The increase in inventory so far has been due to softer demand, likely because of higher mortgage rates.

Active Inventory in August

Here is a summary of active listings for these housing markets in August. Inventory in these markets were down 34% YoY in January, down 8% YoY in April, and are now up 42% YoY! So, this is a significant change from earlier this year, but about the same YoY increase as in July (up 43% YoY).

Notes for all tables:

New additions to table in BOLD: Northwest (Seattle), Santa Clara (San Jose), Jacksonville, Source: Northeast Florida Association of REALTORS® Totals do not include Atlanta, Denver (included in state totals)

New Listings in August

And here is a table for new listings in August. For these areas, new listings were down 10.8% YoY. The sellers’ strike has slowed the increase in active inventory. Last month, new listings in these markets were down 7.5% YoY.

Closed Sales in August

And a table of August sales.

In August, sales in these markets were down 20.2%. Note that in August 2022, there was one more selling day than in August 2021, so the SA decline in August sales will be larger than the NSA decline. The opposite was true in July (one more selling day in July 2021 than in July 2022). So, seasonally adjusted, this is probably close to the same YoY decline as in July.

https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/2nd-look-at-local-housing-markets-92e

>>148333

g'>morning'g

Core Retail Sales Disappoints In August, July Revised Down (wut a surpirse!)

While consensus expected a 0.1% drop in headline retail sales in August, BofA was more optimistic (due to inflation - remember retail sales data is 'notional' not 'real')...BofA was correct on the headline retail sales print - which rose 0.3% MoM -but we note that July was revised down to a 0.4% drop (from unchanged initial print) But core (Ex-Autos) tumbled 0.3% MoM (against expectations of unch) and Ex-Autos and Gas also disappointed (+0.3% MoM vs +0.5% MoM exp)...(and next month THIS will also be revised downwards and look at the HEAVY revisions they did0cap #3-anyone who doesn't werk in gubmint and consistently gets this wrong month after month would have been fired long ago- but they keep the "hope" alive with the wild-ass projections that are then "revised down" the following month) cap #4

On a year-over-year basis, both headline and core retail sales growth slowed...Once again, all these numbers need to be adjusted for inflation - which surprised to the upside in August - and that suggests demand pressures on a volume basis. Online sales dropped for the first time since March...Finally, the Control Group - which feeds through to GDP - was very disappointing. Against expectations of a 0.5% MoM rise, it was unchanged in September.

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/core-retail-sales-disappoints-august-july-revised-down

>>148336

morning

can haz post here?

>>148333

noice trips

we back yo's

>>148338

hola gb. long time. habby thurzday

>>148335

Mortgage rates climb above 6%, first time since 2008

Average rate for a 30-year fixed-mortgage is double what it was a year ago. The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage topped 6% this week, the highest level since 2008 and more than twice what it was a year ago.

Freddie Mac said Thursday that its latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey shows the average rate for the benchmark 30-year fixed mortgage rose again this week to 6.02%%, up from last week's reading of 5.89%. At this time last year, 30-year fixed-rate products averaged 2.86%.

The rate for a 15-year fixed note also rose, averaging 5.21% after coming in at 5.16% last week. That is also more than double the average rate at this time last year when 15-year products were at 2.12%.

"Mortgage rates continued to rise alongside hotter-than-expected inflation numbers this week, exceeding six percent for the first time since late 2008," said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. "Although the increase in rates will continue to dampen demand and put downward pressure on home prices, inventory remains inadequate. This indicates that while home price declines will likely continue, they should not be large."

(BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA-why don't you tell everyone why you have 30 year rates forecast at 4.8% for the 4th Q-either you know something about what they will be doing with rates or you are a fuggen IJIT and inventory is up 42% YoY so you are FOS)

https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/mortgage-rates-climb-above-6-first-time-since-2008

https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage-rates/30-year-fixed

>>148340

yep I'll post an updated bun up by dates and then Ima have to go fer a bit

>>148341

Buenos días mi amigo

haz been a bit

The place doesn't seem too roughed up

>>148344

Planefag:CONUS Activity

MASS24 USAF E-4B Nightwatch from Wright-Patterson AFB east and X marks the spot over Spooktown(s), VA and SW nao-mirror 24 you get fat bubba-MASS42

SAM771 USAF C-40B JBA quick trip over to Dulles Int'l and on ground-either picking someone up at Dulles or someone extremely wasteful and lazy

>>148346

on this day September 15th, 1998

PRESIDENT CLINTON: PREPARING FOR THE SECURITY CHALLENGES OF THE 21ST CENTURY

"I am confident that our forward-deployed and "first-to-fight" units are highly ready, and our overall force is fully capable of carrying our our national military strategy. But I am also determined that we do not relax our vigilance to keep our forces ready to protect America's security needs today and well into the 21st century."

President Bill Clinton-September 15, 1998

moar

https://clintonwhitehouse5.archives.gov/WH/Work/091598.html

Belgian AF BAF80 Falcon 7x arriving at Dulles Int'l from Brussels depart