While there is no 100% guarantee that we’ll see His Dark Materials season 3 over at HBO, there’s reason for optimism! Season 2 was ordered long ago, so there’s no reason to be concerned over the immediate future. Yet, there are larger concerns over the long-term. This is a show based on beloved source material, and you have to imagine that there will be disappointment in the event that it doesn’t get the green light.
Why? Here's a number of reasons. The BBC is sometimes notorious for delays, but it is Bad Wolf. The studio is taking sweet time to ensure what they made is high quality, and is the Valve of TV shows. Here's one for the conspiracy theorists: Valve will never make another Portal because they simply don't believe in the number three at all. That sounds ridiculous, but think about it. Jane Tranter could say that "the number three must not be said [at all]," echoing American game programmer Gabe Newell.
And why it is taking Bad Wolf and BBC and HBO so long to get it made? Because of coronavirus.