YES! QUICK EVERYONE! SHOW US HOW INSANE— I MEAN, PATRIOTIC YOU ARE!!!

>>2934181

>Don't organize goyim it's bad for you goyim.

>>2934181

>muh playwright actors

>>2934181

Still don't get this?

Maybe you don't understand how important voting in the House and Senate is to changing, repealing, and creating law.

What can I do in California?

Missourian here - fuck Claire!

>>2934062

Michigan here… FUCK STAB-ME-NOW

Yes, thats what we call here here.

>>2936081

Top kek!

>>2934181

Media matters shill shows how salty and desperate they are.

>>2934062

Essentially, dig up dirt on the bad guys, make a meme, make the voting base aware so they can punish the corruption by voting accordingly?

@Anons

Plenty of resources. First port of call is who funded their campaign? Any nasty corporate types? You might also want to typecast what your target voter base's habits are like.

For example, each state or area has a different trigger issue that gets them riled up. It might be corruption. It might be bribes. Human trafficking. Child abuse. Wheeling and dealing (read: making deals with corporates). Maybe the majority are poor, and the person running for power is stupidly rich.

You'll probably have an idea.

Areas to dig:

1) Finances (who from, spent on what?)

2) Laws broken

3) Corporate ties (previous jobs, previous associates)

4) Family (classically their partners - conflict of interest?)

5) Whether or not their children use state education (you'll often find democrats who big up public education, don't actually use it)

6) How their performance was previously (what did the party fail to achieve? What did they promise?)

7) Voting corruption/dubious behaviour in votes/foul play/vote canvassing etc (anything extremely suspicious)

8) Obnoxious or negative comments about the target demograph they claim to support (EG Hillary Clinton's "taco bowl" comment about hispanics)

9) Hypocrisy/double-standards (EG preaching climate change but travelling by jet, fuel inefficient SUV or similarly)

10) Backstory lies

11) Encouraging people to break the law etc etc

You probably get the idea.

Once you have the dirt, compile it together as a helpful reminder to the voting.

I look forward to the kinds of dirt people can dig up on politician corruption. This WILL be fun.

PS: Focus efforts on hardliners. Naturally, they're less likely to break rank, switch sides or compromise.

Have fun!

Sherrod Brown’s Shameful Record

on January 21, 2012 by Jason Hart

Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH) served 7 terms in the House – starting in 1993 – before his 2006 election to the U.S. Senate. I’m 28, and Yale graduate Sherrod Brown has been peddling his blue-collar class warfare elixir in Washington since I was in 4th grade.

Does his record merit reelection this November? If you have any vaguely conservative beliefs, the answer is a resounding “NO.” Ranked as the leftmost senator in 2009 and 2010 by National Journal, Sherrod has a lifetime 7.77 rating from the American Conservative Union (ACU). What sort of voting history puts someone to the left of Dianne Feinstein and Harry Reid?

Here’s a compilation of Sherrod Brown’s most notable votes, accompanied by his ACU rating for each year!

1993: Sherrod voted for the Brady Bill, D.C. statehood, missile defense cuts, preventing employers from replacing strikers, and Clinton’s “Emergency Stimulus” spending and tax hike package. He opposed school choice funding and missed a debt ceiling vote. ACU Rating: 9.00

1994: Sherrod voted for the assault weapons ban, a $30 billion Omnibus Crime Bill jammed with pork, and a motion to kill the House Post Office ethics investigation. ACU Rating: 14.00

1995: Sherrod voted for “family planning” funding ultimately given to Planned Parenthood, and for enforcement of vast EPA and FDA regulations. He voted against the partial-birth abortion ban, welfare reform, tax & domestic spending cuts, and the “Mexico City Policy” restricting U.S. dollars spent on abortion in foreign countries. ACU Rating: 32.00

1996: Sherrod voted to increase the minimum wage and in favor of killing school choice vouchers. He voted against the GOP budget, welfare reform, repealing the assault weapons ban, overriding Clinton’s partial-birth abortion ban veto, and making English the official language of the U.S. government. ACU Rating: 0.00

1997: Sherrod voted for national education testing and B-2 bomber budget cuts. He voted against the Hyde Amendment, tax & domestic spending cuts, school choice, and converting federal housing programs into block grants. ACU Rating: 12.00

1998: Sherrod again supported national education testing, and voted to allow a minor to be transported across state lines by a non-parent for an abortion. He voted against tax cuts, the partial-birth abortion ban, D.C. school vouchers, opening impeachment hearings, and ending racial preferences. ACU Rating: 4.00

1999: Sherrod voted against impeachment proceedings, a broad tax cut package, medical savings accounts, and education block grants. He voted to delay missile defense implementation, and to continue funding the United Nations without demanding UN reforms. ACU Rating: 0

2000: Sherrod voted against banning partial-birth abortion, eliminating the death tax, and cutting taxes to alleviate the marriage penalty. He voted to lift the embargo on Cuba, increase the federal minimum wage, and impose the federal minimum wage on the states. ACU Rating: 4

2001: Sherrod voted against making it a crime to kill an unborn child while committing another crime. He voted against school vouchers. He voted to allow taxpayer funding for abortions in federal prisons, lift the embargo on Cuba, tighten SUV mileage standards, and maintain the ANWR oil-drilling ban. ACU Rating: 4

2002: Sherrod voted against extending welfare reform, eliminating the death tax, banning partial-birth abortion, capping medical malpractice suits, and a broad 1% domestic spending cut. He voted to limit free speech in the months preceding an election, and to allow Homeland Security employees to unionize. ACU Rating: 4

2003: Sherrod voted against a partial-birth abortion ban, medical malpractice reform, class action lawsuit reform, death tax repeal, and DC school choice vouchers. He voted to fund abortions at military hospitals, keep ANWR closed from drilling, allow human cloning, and allow negligence suits against gun manufacturers when a gun is used to commit a crime. ACU Rating: 16

…

https://www.redstate.com/diary/jasonahart/2012/01/21/sherrod-browns-shameful-record/

>>2936081

MICHIGAN ANONS (Or anyone interested in helping an uphill battle)

I want to get us together so we can do oppo research on Stabenow. RCP has her ahead by almost 20, but a conservative soldier and african american could potentially make waves with Michigan's city population.

Join up if you're interested in memeing on twitter for John James, investigating deb's ties, etc.

https ://discord.gg/cCjJNYK

>>2936461

THIS!

>>2938520

Jim Renacci is the guy to beat Sherrod Brown! I'll work on some Ohio memes.

Here's a list of the latest poll results: https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/#

The Senate races matter, but let's not forget the House. Governors would come third, probably.

Also, we should continuously update this list by checking above link every day. I've only included races for the Senate, House, and Governor races (I believe). The other questions are useless and probably biased. One last thing: take these results with a grain of salt: most of them will boost Democrat results right up until the election, then give a more accurate outlook at the end so they can say they were "closest" to the result. The only ones I pay attention to are IBD/TIPP and Rasmussen. On the day of the election, I think LA Times/USC actually had Trump ahead, and were catching a lot of shit for it. Here's an article on them: https://dailycaller.com/2016/11/19/these-pollsters-got-the-election-right-according-to-rcp/

8/23/18

Pennsylvania Senate - Barletta vs. Casey NBC News/Marist Casey 53, Barletta 38 Casey +15

Virginia Senate - Stewart vs. Kaine Roanoke College* Kaine 51, Stewart 34 Kaine +17

Connecticut Senate - Corey vs. Murphy Quinnipiac Murphy 59, Corey 31 Murphy +28

Connecticut Governor - Stefanowski vs. Lamont Quinnipiac Lamont 53, Stefanowski 37 Lamont +16

Pennsylvania Governor - Wagner vs. Wolf NBC News/Marist Wolf 54, Wagner 40 Wolf +14

8/22/18

Wisconsin Senate - Vukmir vs. Baldwin Marquette Baldwin 49, Vukmir 47 Baldwin +2

Florida Senate - Scott vs. Nelson Florida Atlantic University Scott 45, Nelson 39 Scott +6

New Jersey Senate - Hugin vs. Menendez Quinnipiac Menendez 43, Hugin 37 Menendez +6

Minnesota Senate Special Election - Housley vs. Smith Suffolk* Smith 44, Housley 37 Smith +7

Minnesota Senate - Newberger vs. Klobuchar Suffolk* Klobuchar 54, Newberger 34 Klobuchar +20

Texas Senate - Cruz vs. O'Rourke NBC News/Marist Cruz 49, O'Rourke 45 Cruz +4

Minnesota Governor - Johnson vs. Walz Suffolk* Walz 46, Johnson 41 Walz +5

Florida Governor - Republican Primary Florida Atlantic University DeSantis 32, Putnam 31, Nathan 4, White 2, Baldauf 3, Devine 2 DeSantis +1

Florida Governor - Democratic Primary Florida Atlantic University Graham 29, Levine 17, Greene 11, Gillum 11, King 10 Graham +12

Wisconsin Governor - Walker vs. Evers Marquette* Evers 46, Walker 46 Tie

Texas Governor - Abbott vs. Valdez NBC News/Marist Abbott 56, Valdez 37 Abbott +19

Illinois Governor - Rauner vs. Pritzker NBC News/Marist* Pritzker 46, Rauner 30 Pritzker +16

8/21/18

Michigan Senate - James vs. Stabenow Gravis Stabenow 51, James 35 Stabenow +16

Michigan Governor - Schuette vs. Whitmer Gravis Whitmer 52, Schuette 37 Whitmer +15

8/20/18

New Mexico Senate - Rich vs. Heinrich vs. Johnson Emerson Heinrich 39, Johnson 21, Rich 11 Heinrich +18

New Mexico Governor - Pearce vs. Grisham Emerson Grisham 42, Pearce 40 Grisham +2

New Hampshire Governor - Sununu vs. Kelly UNH Sununu 48, Kelly 32 Sununu +16

New Hampshire Governor - Sununu vs. Marchand UNH Sununu 48, Marchand 33 Sununu +15

8/17/18

Wisconsin Governor - Walker vs. Evers PPP (D) Evers 49, Walker 44 Evers +5

8/15/18

Indiana Senate - Braun vs. Donnelly Trafalgar Group (R) Donnelly 51, Braun 39 Donnelly +12

8/14/18

Tennessee Senate - Blackburn vs. Bredesen Gravis Bredesen 44, Blackburn 48 Blackburn +4

Tennessee Governor - Lee vs. Dean Gravis Lee 51, Dean 40 Lee +11

Maryland Governor - Hogan vs. Jealous Gonzales Research Hogan 52, Jealous 36 Hogan +16

New Jersey 3rd District - MacArthur vs. Kim Monmouth Kim 45, MacArthur 44 Kim +1

8/13/18

Minnesota Senate - Newberger vs. Klobuchar Emerson Klobuchar 50, Newberger 26 Klobuchar +24

Missouri Senate - Hawley vs. McCaskill Missouri Scout* Hawley 47, McCaskill 47 Tie

8/9/18

Virginia Senate - Stewart vs. Kaine VCU* Kaine 49, Stewart 26 Kaine +23

8/8/18

Maine Senate - Brakey vs. King Suffolk* King 52, Brakey 25 King +27

Maine Governor - Moody vs. Mills Suffolk* Moody 39, Mills 39 Tie

8/6/18

Rhode Island Governor - Fung vs. Raimondo WPRI/Roger Williams* Raimondo 39, Fung 37 Raimondo +2

>>2940749

9/7/18

California 48th District - Rohrabacher vs. Rouda NY Times/Siena Rouda 45, Rohrabacher 45 Tie

Georgia Governor - Kemp vs. Abrams Atlanta Journal-Constitution Abrams 45, Kemp 45 Tie

Illinois 12th District - Bost vs. Kelly NY Times/Siena Bost 44, Kelly 43 Bost +1

Illinois 6th District - Roskam vs. Casten NY Times/Siena Roskam 45, Casten 44 Roskam +1

Utah 4th District - Love vs. McAdams UtahPolicy/Dan Jones Love 49, McAdams 46 Love +3

9/6/18

Tennessee Governor - Lee vs. Dean NBC News/Marist Lee 53, Dean 40 Lee +13

Tennessee Senate - Blackburn vs. Bredesen NBC News/Marist Bredesen 48, Blackburn 46 Bredesen +2

9/5/18

Utah Senate - Romney vs. Wilson UtahPolicy/Dan Jones* Romney 55, Wilson 29 Romney +26

Indiana Senate - Braun vs. Donnelly NBC News/Marist Donnelly 49, Braun 43 Donnelly +6

Florida Senate - Scott vs. Nelson Quinnipiac Scott 49, Nelson 49 Tie

9/4/18

Florida Governor - DeSantis vs. Gillum Gravis Gillum 47, DeSantis 45 Gillum +2

Florida Governor - DeSantis vs. Gillum Quinnipiac Gillum 50, DeSantis 47 Gillum +3

Florida Senate - Scott vs. Nelson Gravis Scott 47, Nelson 47 Tie

Missouri Senate - Hawley vs. McCaskill NBC News/Marist Hawley 47, McCaskill 47 Tie

8/31/18

West Virginia Senate - Morrisey vs. Manchin MetroNews Manchin 46, Morrisey 38 Manchin +8

8/30/18

Pennsylvania Senate - Barletta vs. Casey Franklin & Marshall* Casey 47, Barletta 34 Casey +13

Pennsylvania Governor - Wagner vs. Wolf Franklin & Marshall* Wolf 52, Wagner 35 Wolf +17

New York 19th District - Faso vs. Delgado Siena Faso 45, Delgado 40 Faso +5

8/29/18

Connecticut Senate - Corey vs. Murphy Gravis Murphy 54, Corey 37 Murphy +17

Connecticut Governor - Stefanowski vs. Lamont Gravis Lamont 49, Stefanowski 40 Lamont +9

New York 22nd District - Tenney vs. Brindisi Siena Brindisi 46, Tenney 44 Brindisi +2

8/28/18

Wisconsin Senate - Vukmir vs. Baldwin Suffolk Baldwin 50, Vukmir 42 Baldwin +8

Wisconsin Governor - Walker vs. Evers Suffolk Evers 46, Walker 44 Evers +2

8/27/18

Texas Senate - Cruz vs. O'Rourke Emerson Cruz 39, O'Rourke 38 Cruz +1

California 50th District - Hunter vs. Campa-Najjar KGTV-TV/SurveyUSA Hunter 47, Campa-Najjar 39 Hunter +8

New York 24th District - Katko vs. Balter Siena Katko 54, Balter 39 Katko +15

>>2935446

stand outside the polls on election day with a sign that says, "Illegals cannot vote…if we catch you we hang you"

Here's the list of people we should support, in order, in my opinion:

1. Josh Hawley

2. Ted Cruz

3. & 4. Rick Scott & Leah Vukmir

5. Marsha Blackburn

6. Mike Bost

7. Claudia Tenney

8. & 9. Peter Roskam & Thomas MacArthur

10. Dana Rohrabacker

11. Ron DeSantis

12. Scott Walker

13. Brian Kemp

14. Steve Pearce

15. Allan Fung

This list will be updated & adjusted as more information comes to bear. Please chime in–I'm not a political science major, I'm probably missing a lot of important details & welcome corrections.

The explanations follow below.

>>2943734

Close Races

Going by the poll information we have so far, these are the races that are within +/- 2 points:

California 48th District - Rohrabacher vs. Rouda NY Times/Siena Rouda 45, Rohrabacher 45 Tie

Georgia Governor - Kemp vs. Abrams Atlanta Journal-Constitution Abrams 45, Kemp 45 Tie

Illinois 12th District - Bost vs. Kelly NY Times/Siena Bost 44, Kelly 43 Bost +1

Illinois 6th District - Roskam vs. Casten NY Times/Siena Roskam 45, Casten 44 Roskam +1

Tennessee Senate - Blackburn vs. Bredesen NBC News/Marist Bredesen 48, Blackburn 46 Bredesen +2

Florida Senate - Scott vs. Nelson Quinnipiac Scott 49, Nelson 49 Tie

Florida Senate - Scott vs. Nelson Gravis Scott 47, Nelson 47 Tie

Florida Governor - DeSantis vs. Gillum Gravis Gillum 47, DeSantis 45 Gillum +2

Missouri Senate - Hawley vs. McCaskill NBC News/Marist Hawley 47, McCaskill 47 Tie

New York 22nd District - Tenney vs. Brindisi Siena Brindisi 46, Tenney 44 Brindisi +2

Wisconsin Governor - Walker vs. Evers Suffolk Evers 46, Walker 44 Evers +2

Texas Senate - Cruz vs. O'Rourke Emerson Cruz 39, O'Rourke 38 Cruz +1

Rhode Island Governor - Fung vs. Raimondo WPRI/Roger Williams* Raimondo 39, Fung 37 Raimondo +2

Maine Governor - Moody vs. Mills Suffolk* Moody 39, Mills 39 Tie

New Jersey 3rd District - MacArthur vs. Kim Monmouth Kim 45, MacArthur 44 Kim +1

New Mexico Governor - Pearce vs. Grisham Emerson Grisham 42, Pearce 40 Grisham +2

Wisconsin Senate - Vukmir vs. Baldwin Marquette Baldwin 49, Vukmir 47 Baldwin +2

Race-by-race details:

The cabal clearly has Rohrabacher in their sights–just google his name. That means he's /ourguy. He's voted with POTUS 84.3% of the time, which is 'meh,' but not bad for a CA rep. He's a member of two subcommittees in the House Committee on Foreign Affairs and has been heavily involved in the subcommittees of the House Committee on Science and Technology. He comes from one of the few Conservative-ish areas of California–recently they've been dealing with a lot of homeless overrunning their towns. So that's something to focus on.

In the Georgia Governor election, Stacey Abrams is a racist, courting the racist vote–and by racist. Just fyi, 'racist' to me means what it's supposed to mean: someone who considers skin color before anything else. Even Mother Jones has called her out in a scandal: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2018/05/stacey-adams-bizarre-gerrymandering-controversy/

Illinois 12th district: Mike Bost has voted with POTUS 98.9% of the time, which is the highest out of the close races listed. He's heavily involved in the Committees: two subcommittees in the House Committee on Agriculture, three subcommittees in the House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, two subcommittees in the House Committee on Veterans' Affairs, and is on 10 House Caucuses. He supports Trump on the downlow and deserves our support.

Illinois 6th district: Peter Roskam has voted with POTUS 94.4% of the time, which is good. He sits on the House Committee on Ways and Means, is the Chair on the subcommittee on Health, and is on one other subcommittee.

For the TN Senate race, Marsha Blackburn has voted with POTUS 91.7% of the time as a State Rep, and POTUS has endorsed her. She sits on the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, as well as three subcommittees. Bredesden has been careful not to shit on Trump, but his record tells the tale: https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/22/bredesen-tennessee-senate-blackburn-791269

In the FL Senate race, Rick Scott was one of POTUS's first supporters, but is trying to keep that on the down-low to woo moderates. POTUS has given him a twitter shout-out. If he wins, it will turn both FL Senate seats red. His opponent, Bill Nelson, has only voted with POTUS 42.7% of the time. That's not bad for a Dem, but we can do better. He's the Ranking member on the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science & Transportation, the ranking member on one, and member of another subcommittee in the Senate Committee on Armed Services, a member of three subcommittees on the Senate Committee on Finance and is a member of the Special Committee on Aging. Remember that if the Dems take the majority, odds are good that he will become the chair of the Committee on Commerce, Science & Transportation.

>>2943743

Race-by-Race details, cont'd

In the FL Governor's race, Ron DeSantis voted with POTUS 94.3% of the time as a State Rep, and POTUS has been pretty vocal in supporting him. I had to go to the 6th page of Google results before I could find a single article from a Conservative outlet on him–that should show you how /theirguy he really is.

In the Missouri Senate race, Claire McCaskill voted with POTUS 45.3% of the time, which is good for a Dem but worse than any Republican. We all know she's shit–Missouri deserves a better Senator. She's the ranking member of the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs (3 subcommittees), a member of three subcommittees in the Senate Committee on Armed Forces, and a member of two subcommittees in the Senate Committee on Finance. This is another big fish.

For NY's 22nd District, Claudia Tenney votes with POTUS 96.7% of the time, decent for a Republican State Rep (esp. from NY). She sits on three subcommittees in the House committee on Financial Services. POTUS ran a fundraiser for her.

For the Wisconsin Governor's race, Scott Walker has been a pretty staunch Conservative, and was endorsed by POTUS who said he's a "favorite of mine".

The Texas Senate race is easily one of the most important. Ted Cruz has voted with POTUS 90.8% of the time, is a member of three subcommittees of the Committee on Armed Services, a member of three subcommittees and the chair of another in the Committee on Commerce, Science, & Transportation, a member of two subcommittees and the chairman of the subcommittee on the Constitution in the Committee on the Judiciary, as well as a member of the Joint Economic Committee and the Committee on Rules & Administration. POTUS is throwing him a rally, it's that important.

For Rhode Island Governor, Allan Fung seems to be with POTUS, but kind of on the downlow. He's been accused of defending POTUS's comments by his opponents…but support for POTUS doesn't do him much good. He's worth helping a bit.

Maine Governor: It's Attorney General Janet Mills (D) vs. Shawn Moody. Voters are split among gender lines. I wouldn't put this at the top of the list, but given Soros' support for Liberal AG's, you can see it's not in our best interest for her to win.

NJ 3rd: Thomas MacArthur has been with Trump 94.4% of the time, decent. POTUS praised him back in late '16. MacArthur sits on two subcommittees on the House Committee of Financial Services and is a member of 33 Caucuses.

NM Governor: Steve Pearce voted with POTUS 89.7% of the time as a State Rep. He's a member of the Freedom Caucus that voted against POTUS's Obamacare replacement bill, but besides that he's been fairly solid–especially considering that he's coming out of NM, which is getting bluer and bluer. He's also on two subcommittees of the House Committee on Financial Services, and two subcommittees in the House Natural Resources Committee. POTUS hasn't seemed for or against him, but his opponents are highlighting his support. There's something rotten in NM, and maybe a Republican Governor can get to the bottom of it.

Wisconsin Senate: POTUS has tweeted support for Leah Vukmir, which is pretty much all we need to know. Support for POTUS is a big bonus in that race, as the two Republican candidates were arguing over it. Her opponent, Sen. Tammy Baldwin, has voted with POTUS 22.7% of the time, so she needs to go. She is the ranking member of one, and member of four other subcommittees in the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation; she's the ranking member of one, and member of another subcommittee in the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions, and is a member of five subcommittees in the Senate Committee on Appropriations. This would be another fine target.

>>2943746

Weighing Importance

As of right now, there are 51 Republicans in the Senate, 47 Democrats, and 2 Independents (who are basically Democrats). That means the Senate races are hands-down the most important races. Losing even one seat to the Dems will pretty much mean Pence will have to be a tiebreaker for everything.

There are 237 Republicans, 193 Democrats, and 5 vacancies in the House–a total of 435 seats. Republicans need to hold 218 sets to retain a majority, so they can afford to lose 19 of them and still hang on, even if all vacancies are filled by Dems (forgive me if I'm missing something here). So, while it's important to do well, it's not as critical as the Senate.

Governor races are important for various reasons–even with Trump in office, the Governorships can pretty much thwart POTUS's agenda and blame the fallout on POTUS, especially with the shill media backing them. But I would place them just behind the House races, and far behind the Senate in importance.

The Senate

We have five close Senate races: Marsha Blackburn v. Phil Bredesden, Rick Scott v. Bill Nelson, Ted Cruz v. Beto O'Rourke, Leah Vukmir v Tammy Baldwin, and Claire McCaskill v. Josh Hawley. In the TN race (Blackburn v Bredesden), the seat was held by Bob Corker, "Republican"…so losing that puts us down one. Bill Nelson (D) is the incumbent in FL, so a win by Rick Scott would put us up one. And Ted Cruz, of course, is the incumbent in the TX race.

The most important people to support, in order, are these: Josh Hawley, Ted Cruz, Rick Scott & Leah Vukmir (tossup), then Marsha Blackburn. The reasoning goes like this: Ted Cruz, Bill Nelson, Tammy Baldwin, and Claire McCaskill are all heavily-involved, influential members of the Senate, but Bill Nelson's and Tammy Baldwin's Committee memberships are less relevant to POTUS's agenda. If the Dems win the Senate, Bill Nelson likely becomes the chair of the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, & Transportation, but McCaskill probably becomes the Chair on the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs (think ICE & the Border). Tammy Baldwin isn't the ranking member of any of the Senate Committees, so it's unlikely she gets Chair on any of them. If POTUS decides he wants to push through a big infrastructure project, what Democrat on the Committee of Commerce, Science & Transportation will oppose him? But anything dealing with the border will be vehemently opposed by McCaskill. Then there's McCaskill's membership in the Senate Committee on Armed Services–this is something that cannot be fucked with. As for Ted Cruz's Committee memberships, he's perfectly placed to thwart either of those two, should the Dems regain the majority…plus he can help get the next SCOTUS nominees through. We will need some strong Constitutional arguments as to why certain prosecutions are taking place, and Ted Cruz can both make the argument and help to get applicable laws through the Committees. When it comes to Leah Vukmir and Rick Scott, I believe that Rick Scott's race is a little more important–and his early support of POTUS is a big plus–but he's rich and can better finance his campaign. Leah Vukmir's race is also important, is vocal in her support of POTUS, and probably needs our help a bit more. As far as Marsha Blackburn v Phil Bredesden goes, Bob Corker's influence is already lost given his 'retirement.'

>>2943749

The House

You would think that POTUS's endorsement would be the most important factor in deciding who we need to back, but the fact of the matter is that there are many candidates in places where POTUS's support works against them. POTUS probably knows this and has kept a respectful distance. So, the best indicator of who to support would be how they vote. So let's do it this way: someone that votes with POTUS 98% of the time gets 98 points, and someone who would replace a Democrat that votes with POTUS 16% of the time gets (100 - 16) = 84 points–we'll call these 'impact' points. Next, we should implement a 'fudge factor' for important Committee membership. Finally, we should subtract if POTUS doesn't like the person. For impact, these are the most important races to support: Mike Bost (98.9), Claudia Tenney (96.7), Peter Roskam (94.4) & Thomas MacArthur (94.4), then Dana Rohrabacker (84.3). Out of those, POTUS only seems to have had negative interactions with Roskam, but it's one

of those 'bonus points for standing up to Trump' things. His position as Chair of the House Committee on Health doesn't seem helpful, but maybe it will play a role in going after the Pharmaceuticals. As far as the others go, they all seem similar except for Rohrabacker. He might be given more weight for his Committee influence, but it doesn't overcome his poor voting record. I would keep the list as it is.

Governorships

As far as Governors go, I'd say Ron DeSantis in FL, Scott Walker WI, Brian Kemp in GA, Steve Pearce in NM, then Fung in ME. For the first two, they should be supported because they've supported POTUS's agenda; I put DeSantis ahead of Walker because FL is a bit more important, given its large, vocal voting population…but it could go either way. Brian Kemp is next in GA, for two reasons: 1) Trump could really shore up his support among Blacks if his policies were just given a chance to help them, and Stacey Abrams would likely screw that up; 2) she's corrupt, racist, and will be another loud critic of the President that the newspapers will quote every week. Steve Pearce goes ahead of Fung because NM is screwed-up: we've seen it with those judges, the fact that Epstein has a home there, the school-killers-in-training compound, etc. Finally, Fung comes last because he's a bit behind, and not exactly a vocal supporter of Trump.

>>2936461

Yup^^^^

Only problem is that my curuptocrat is Andrew Gillum…..

So much curuption … So little time…

Angus King of Maine is an Obama crony and all-around corrupt piece of shit. He has been the beneficiary of 9 digits' worth of taxpayer-financed green energy scams.

The reasons why he is doing so well in the polls are:

Media support.

Maine has a lot of TV-addled boomer retards who will vote for anyone who pretends to be an 'independent' even though he votes like a commie. Angus never saw a spending bill he didn't like. Especially when he gets kickbacks.

Soros helped finance ranked choice voting, which will now allow votes for commie Zach Ringelstein to cascade to Angus King. Because of all the complex ways the vote could play out, all the ballots will have to be shipped to Augusta, where they will be counted by liberal activists. Trust them.

The challenger, Eric Brakey, is young and doesn't have the name recognition of Angus King. Brakey is essentially a Libertarian running as a Republican. This makes him a viable candidate in Northern and Western Maine but the coastal liberals aren't going to vote for him because he likes guns and freedom and doesn't like welfare, Obama, etc. I believe Brakey is genuinely patriotic and not corrupt. Therefore, he has to swim against a tide of shit.

Realistically, the only way Brakey can win is if we get a whole bunch of indictments unsealed between now and November and normies are so outraged by the revelations that the Blue Wave turns into a Tsunami of Blood.

>>2944748

Partial sauce:

https://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2012/09/10/angus-king-solyndra-obama-department-of-energy/

"what thrills you?"

"This is really embarrassing, but the nicest thing right now is being loved, and actually appreciating the people that are giving that to me"

Iggy Pop and Anthony Bourdain.

House Race Strategies

>>2943754

1. Mike Bost

2. Claudia Tenney

3. Peter Roskam

4. Thomas MacArthur

5. Dana Rohrabacker

Governorships

>>2943754

1. Ron DeSantis of Florida

2. Scott Walker of Wisconsin

3. Brian Kemp of Georgia

4. Steve Pearce of New Mexico

5. Fung for Maine

Polling

>>2940749

We need this in visualized format. Any photoshop fags around here? We need to recruit some from QR if not. I can make excel sheets and watch the polls but I think screen caps of Real Clear Politics is probably the best. I think this helps focus on races we can win

MEMES

I think we need HIGH QUALITY political memes. Look at Obama campaign images for example. We isolate the important elections and make memes for social media. That's always been the most effective. Also digging against opponents.

Great thread.

This will be the first time I'm voting (ever) since I didn't pay much attention to politics until earlier this year.

I did register to vote and was approved.

But how does this work? Do you only get to vote for those within your district, or is it for the entire state (or a combination of both)?

I'm also at a different location (and will be when it's time to vote) than what I registered as my address - can I still vote?

>>2945622

Most states its going to be Senators, House Reps for your district, local politicians. Make sure you are registered and have a confirmed voting address and go in person.

>>2943743

VERY nice

https://kprcradio.iheart.com/featured/the-pursuit-of-happiness/content/2017-12-15-george-soros-is-coming-for-texas-meet-beto-orourke/

>>2946039

Good article… I will stick with voting for Ted Cruz.

I was wondering where he got all the money to blow on weak campaign TV ads… he's just another Soros puppet.

"Vets" supported by Bezos PAC money.

Candidates supported by Jeff Bezos/Amazon PAC With Honor:

AMY MCGRATH

KY-6 (D)

Veteran, U.S. Marine Corps

Served 20 years in the Marine Corps

ANDREW GRANT

CA-7 (R)

Veteran, U.S. Marine Corps

Former CEO of the Northern California WTC

BRIAN MAST

FL-18 (R)

Veteran, U.S. Army

Congressman

CHRISSY HOULAHAN

PA-6 (D)

Veteran, U.S. Air Force

President at a non-profit

CONOR LAMB

PA-17 (D)

Veteran, U.S. Marine Corps

Congressman

DAN CRENSHAW

TX-2 (R)

Veteran, U.S. Navy

Harvard Kennedy School, MPA

DAN DEBONO

NY-3 (R)

Veteran, U.S. Navy

Portfolio Manager at Matias Capital Partners, LP

DAN FEEHAN

MN-1 (D)

Veteran, U.S. Army

Former acting Assistant Secretary of Defense

>>2940750

so how do we prevent CT from doing what they did in 2010 when it was close, and there was the artificial ballot shortage because Susan Bycewicz as SS "didnt order enough ballots" for Bridgeport, and told everyone they would be sure to have enough ballots for everyone.

Then they find bags of votes the morning after, "that someone forgot about" (probably "absentee" I dont recall) and after counting the 'extra' 15,000 ballots, Malloy "wins" by ~2000. This was when Blumenthal went to the senate also.

People tried raising a stink about that when it happened back then and it got totally ignored.

That better fucking not happen again, because its Electoral fraud that has kept CT straight crook all these past years since the 80s.

Kavanaugh vote set for September 20th

Emergency Alert System Test September 20th

I do not believe in coincidences!

https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1037804578907901952

>>2947704

1.) Landslide

2.) Lawsuits

RED WAVE INCOMING!!!

Figured this would be a good place to drop this. In my county of a blue state, we have seen a turning of the tide. Although a "red" county, we have our share of Rino's. The incumbancy have gone corrupt and brought in ugly all over. This election is different than all the others I have witnessed. The people are learning and beginning to vote out the old scumbags. Every election I see the same thing, the lesser of two evils. And the most evil continuously wins when the light is shining on their corruption. Now they are voting differently in light of the corruption. A slight change that we needed to lawfully oust them. Our law enforcement needs this to drain the swamp and restore balance here. They live in fear of losing financing from these politicians. They also have a lot to hide now that they clean up each other's messes. We have a long way to go. Younger people are coming and setting the record straight for the old guard. We are getting the votes we need for pro-liberty candidates and there is a chance of them winning for our county and state.

My point is that in the future our involvement seems to matter. Unlike what I have grown accustomed to over the years of compromise. Remember the TEA Party. We don't have to worry about that as much being coopted anymore. They are on the run. We need to be diligent on learning about our candidates. And more importantly 'who' our candidates are or their voting record. We won't win as ignorant voters. We still have the right to be heard. Our votes count more than ever in my lifetime. It is time to wake up and change our homes.

This was meant as my battle cry. #MAGA

Senators are installed by Cabal machinery for the most part. See Godfather movie? They make sure they have dirt on you to control you.

Take out the Cabal. Voting machines still comped.

>>2945622

>>2945640

Right, it really depends on your state. In California, we generally get a pamphlet in the mail discussing the various issues and stances. It used to be pretty fair, but for the last decade (or even more) it has been full of bullshit–rather than being an analysis of the positions, it's advertisements from the sides in favor and against. Oftentimes those get hijacked, imo–for instance, the arguments against often miss the obvious problems with the legislation. It's corrupt, through and through.

Besides the Senators for your state, the Representatives for your area, the State Governor, the other State positions (such as the Attorney General, Treasurer, State Superintendent, etc.), you'll have votes on Statewide, Countywide, and City (local) ordinances possibly. In California, the statewide ones are called Propositions, and they're important.

I've also signed up for mail-in voting. That means that they send me a ballot by mail, and I can mail it in whenever I want. A lot of people don't trust them, but it wasn't always as controversial as it is now. I have the option to drop the ballot off at the polling place, which is what I do unless I'm going to be busy–in which case I mail it ahead of time or leave it with someone I trust to deliver to the polling place (it requires a signature from myself and the designees name on the containing envelope).

Somehow, you should get information on your designated polling (voting) location. You will have to go there to vote, otherwise your vote will be delayed and counted with the mail-in ballots. I can't remember what these votes are called, but there's a term for them and it's how Kamala Harris beat Steve Cooley for State Attorney General after being behind by 8% on election night.

You can also get the information by searching in "<your state> vote". The Secretary of State handles the voting, so you can look up that site as well.

I do all my research on the internet–there are so many races in CA, with so many names I've never heard of, it helps to do a search on each one–that's how you find out what their real stance is. There are many Republicans that aren't Republicans at all. Also, you can look up the various State, County, and Local ordinances being proposed–these are actually the most interesting parts after the Senators, Representatives, and Governors. Be very careful to dig deeply on these, because oftentimes there are ramifications that aren't obvious. For instance, in California we were given a proposition that would have released "nonviolent" offenders from jail early; we were told that this would include sex offenders, but there was a loophole and they're now being released with the likes of pot smokers.

Take your time, do the research, and when the election is over, you will be at peace with the difference you tried to make.

>>2950069

I hear you anon we're all in this together but better late than never. It is time to GET THEM OUT!

>>2951944

Please dear lord do not let Claire win again. i'm so sick of this scum representing me.

Any other MissouriAnons here lets do some DIGGING! Simmons Hanly Conroy Lawfirm probably a good place to start.>>2951944

>>2955327

Great info. Washington University is a prominent donor. Very liberal school.

>>2957324

Yes, campuses silencing conservative speech and funnelling money to these liberal campaigns. Think of all the nice things those students could've had with the tuition money that was donated away.

Centene Corp. Also a big one with interests in Medicare/Medicaid and HusseinCare.

>>2957679

For MA

Dr. Shiva Ayyadurai,PhD (M.I.T.)

Cambridge, MA

https://twitter.com/va_shiva

Follows DJT and is Independent. Has strong chance of winning due to his ability to meme.

Only a Real Indian can defeat the FAKE indian.

he seems like the kind of guy to pick up what we put down… crumbs

You're missing one in Minnesota: Amy Klobuchar vs Jim Newberger. She's gotta be crooked as a tire iron or really bad at making deals.

OK, I'll starting reading this thread now, if that's not been mentioned a bunch, I'll eat my hat.

Swamp Watch: Senator Bob Casey

https://youtu.be/uFXwNhqQT90?t=1m30s

Bob Casey Stood with Hillary Clinton, Not Pennsylvania

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-AWGB6YsYw8

https://ballotpedia.org/Bob_Casey_Jr.

age of the population is major issue in PA elections

Casey most often votes with: Dick Durbin and Susan Collins

Based on an analysis of bill sponsorship by GovTrack, Casey was a "rank-and-file Democrat"

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2006/11/the_real_bob_casey.html

Ranking Member https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_Committee_on_Aging_(Special)

https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/summary?cid=N00027503&cycle=2018&type=I

https://www.ydr.com/story/news/2018/07/10/pa-election-six-pivot-counties-test-lou-barletta-bob-casey/715310002/

https://www.politifact.com/personalities/bob-casey/

https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/S6PA00217/

https://www.followthemoney.org/entity-details?eid=5967054

http://www2.philly.com/philly/news/politics/kamala-harris-bob-casey-2020-presidential-election-20180713.html

https://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2018/07/03/bob-casey-once-praised-judge-on-trumps-scotus-list-now-calls-him-hard-right/

http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/clout/Sen-Casey-sees-unlawful-activity-in-IRS-scandal.html?arc404=true

https://www.timesleader.com/news/704713/barletta-looking-at-long-odds-against-casey-in-us-senate-race

scoring as high as 100 percent on NARAL Pro-Choice America’s vote tally in 2016 and 2017

https://www.theblaze.com/news/2018/07/03/pa-sen-caseys-abortion-record-under-microscope-as-next-scotus-pick-could-help-overturn-roe-v-wade

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/sen-bob-casey-and-the-myth-of-the-pro-life-democrat

>>2967380

This guy came out of nowhere, and may be a ploy to steal anti Warren votes from Geoff Diehl. If votes are split between Diehl and Shiva, Warren wins. Not good.

>>2969709

I agree, Klobuchar and T. Smith MUST go! I'm glad the people of Minnesota are beginning to wake up.

MONTANA

VOTE OUT JOHN TESTER

MISSOURI

VOTE OUT CLAIRE MCCASKILL

MICHIGAN

VOTE OUT DEBBIE "STAB-ME-NOW" STABENOW

OHIO

VOTE OUT SHERROD "TIME FOR TERM LIMITS" BROWN

PENNSYLVANIA

BOB CASEY MUST GO

INDIANA

JOE DONNELLY GOODBYE

FLORIDA

BILL NELSON FOR GITMO

WEST VIRGINA

JOE MANCHIN ADIOS

I say we frame it as vote them out.

We're not voting anybody in necessarily.

We are voting them OUT!

>>2975113

A lot of focus on the Senate, which is good, but we really need to focus on the house as much if not more. Based on what I am seeing in the polls which are not a great predictor so much as psyop, R floor is 175 with an advantage in 16 more races. We need to win 218 to retain the house which means 43/72 races in play. Of these races:

42 R held Trump Won in play

AR2,CA50,FL16,GA6,IA1,IA3,IL12,IL13,IL14,KS2,KY6,ME2,MI6,MI7,MI8,MI11,MN2,MT,NC9,NC13,NE2,NJ2,NJ3,NJ11,NM2,NY1,NY11,NY19,NY22,NY27,OH1,OH12,PA17,PA10,UT4,VA2,VA5,VA7,WA3,WA5,WI1,WV3

22 R held districts Trump Lost in play

AZ2,CA10,CA21,CA25,CA39,CA45,CA48,CA49,CO6,FL7,FL26,IL6,KS3,MN3,NJ7,PA1,PA7,

TX7,TX23,TX32,VA10,WA8

7 D Held Trump Won in play

AZ1,MN1,MN7,MN8,NH1,NJ5,NV3

3 D Held Clinton Won in play

CA7,FL7,NV4

42 Seats R held Trump won that are in play. 14 lean R, 1 lean D 27 toss up

22 R held Clinton won districts 2 Lean R 3 Lean D 17 Toss up

7 D held Trump Won 5 Lean D 2 Toss Up

3 D held Clinton won 3 Lean D

Sauce

realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/2018_elections_house_map.html

nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/26/us/elections/house-races-midterms.html

Analysis: I know that we have certain candidates that we dislike, but this is a raw numbers game and it is for Q and Potus, so suck it up. The best way to get a favorable map is to push the generic ballot. 2016 was a generic ballot neutral election, so applying a +/- number to each race using a generic ballot provides a rough number for how far the blue wave will go (we are going to lose some house seats). Also, when they say there is an advantage and you have an incumbent in a district that the presidential candidate of the same party won it is as close to a slam dunk as possible. I expect a minimum of 15 out of 16 where R has advantage. If not, that will likely be a problem. This gets us to 190. We need 28 more to retain the house. There are 46 tossups meaning a necessary win rate of just over 60%. 44 of those seats are held by R currently. The two seats held by D are open seats making them true tossups. Of the 44 R tossups, 27 are incumbents from what I was seeing (computer issues at time so might be more). This is an advantage from the stand point of winning. If the win rate for them is arround 65% than that is 17 or 18 seats. From there it would be 10 or 11 out of 19 to win. This reflects an uphill battle.

There are a few strategic approaches that will help us improve odds. The first thing that is easier for what we do is to drag the DNC through the mud. We have the dirt and more comming every day. There is a lot there and we can move public opinion to move the needle on the generic ballot through social media. The next thing to do is attatch battleground Ds to the DNC establishment. Inuendo of impropriety is all that we need to flip some seats to likely R. The easiest seats to do this with would be ones with R incumbents in districts Trump won. CA50,IA1,IA3,IL12,KY6,ME2,MI8,MN2,MT,NY19,NY22,OH1,UT4,VA7,WA5 fit that bill. These should be lean R and if we push them into that column now, that reduces the number of races that a Trump bump is neaded in and frees up money too. If these 14 races are included with the 16 that lean R and we win 90% of those then it would put us at 202, win 16 out of the remaining 32 toss ups to win. This would be a board that would favor R.

If we have to back another MAJOR criminal swamp creature to help keep a majority, are there any plans to later get him out? I am dead serious. If I didn't think a majority was in danger, I'd not vote for senator this time. It's going to hurt my whole being to vote for this guy (POTUS endorsed, but may not be aware). Anyone heard what POTUS intends that will help get this guy out if I help put him in???

>>2966097

Democrats are going to win some seats. It's not like they haven't brainwashed the majority of people in major metropolitan areas.

Just because the votes are electronic doesn't mean that they aren't secured. What if they're just monitoring for fraud this time, so they can jail those colluding? Fraudulent elections are nullified.

They don't have to post the National Guard outside of every voting booth to deliver on their promises. Try harder.

>>2935639

I would like to save a resolution that is legible.

>>2976615

great work I am going to use this as the focus of what we are doing here. I'm compiling all of this into a digestable format re: House Focus, Senate Focus.

Narrow in on priorities. Meme I guess or at least we have it focused down and know what we're looking at to the best extent possible.

THANK YOU FOR THIS.

>>2976684

I'm looking at it purely as a play on voting and passing legislation as well as defending from fuckery. If the person is going to vote with POTUS' agenda we suck it up and vote. If not, I still think weakening the democratic party is better than letting a dem win. For me, its defend against the dems at all costs. We want to have a crushing blow. If the Republican in play is a creature - send him. We'll vote him out later.

>>2979698

Yea, its true but if we just narrow it down to the key races to focus on and at least provides other anons on the other threads with one clean meme or graphic on who we think we should vote for by state to most help POTUS we've done the best we can

>>2981260

https://www.kmbc.com/article/mccaskill-s-ex-husband-slain-in-kck/3642320

Sorry about that

KANSAS CITY, Mo. —

Police identified a man slain Monday outside a day-care center near Eighth Street and Lafayette Avenue as the ex-husband of State Auditor Claire McCaskill.

David Exposito, 64, of Independence, was found lying in the street at about 2:50 p.m. Officials said he had apparently been shot inside a vehicle, then thrown out. Exposito had been shot in the upper torso and died immediately, police said.

Police Capt. Michael Kobe said the body was identified through fingerprints and a tattoo.

Exposito and McCaskill divorced in 1995. The couple had three children, an 18-year-old son and two daughters, 16 and 14.

"David was really a nice fellow, done a lot of things for a lot of people and everything," Exoposito's friend Earl McCarty told KMBC's Peggy Breit. "He was fun to talk to."

"Obviously this is an incredibly difficult time for me and my children, as they grieve the loss of their father. I will be spending time with my children to help them through this terrible loss, and I know others will respect my family's privacy at this tragic time," McCaskill said Tuesday in a news release. McCaskill and her children live in St. Louis.

No arrests are reported in the case. Police said a suspect was seen leaving the area in a blue-green, older model car with two doors and a white leather top and gold wheel rims. Investigators found that vehicle Tuesday at 35th Street and Ford Avenue and are processing it for evidence.

Wyandotte County District Attorney Jerome Gorman said Tuesday afternoon that authorities didn't yet know what motivated the shooting but were looking at several possible scenarios. Anyone with information in the case can contact the TIPS Hotline at (816) 474-8477 or police at (913) 573-6020.

When McCaskill was the Jackson County prosecuting attorney, Exposito was caught smoking marijuana at a Kansas City-area casino boat, while she was out of town. They were divorced the next year.

McCaskill was elected state auditor in 1998 and easily won a second term four years later.

Her Senate campaign spokesman, Tony Wyche, said McCaskill's immediate priority is to focus on her family.

"The campaign will adapt to that and certainly we will move forward respectfully in putting our first thoughts with her," Wyche said.

In August, McCaskill announced her candidacy for the Democratic nomination to oppose Sen. Jim Talent, R-Mo., next year.

Talent extended condolences in a statement released by his Washington office.

"Brenda and I are deeply saddened by this tragedy," Talent said. "Our thoughts and prayers are with Claire McCaskill, her children and everyone in her family during this very difficult time."

>>2986175

Just registered republican

I'm not a good meme maker, but here are some things to push in the Georgia race:

Stacy Abrams supports reparations for slavery

"Democratic Georgia candidate for governor Stacey Abrams on Monday headlined a reception, “Way to Win: 2022 Victory Party,” which discussed how Democrats can achieve their left-wing dreams.

“It’s 2022 and we are celebrating policy victories across the nation: Medicare for All and Free College, and next on the agenda is Reparations,” the document projected."

sauce:

https://americanlookout.com/far-left-donor-network-trying-to-get-slavery-reparations-into-democratic-party-platform/

https://conservativedailypost.com/soros-donor-network-wants-reparations-on-agenda-by-2022/

http://dailycaller.com/2018/04/19/democrats-reparations-2022/

Stacy Abrams also has over $200,000 in debt:

http://fortune.com/2018/04/24/stacey-abrams-debt-georgia-governor/

https://www.ajc.com/news/stacy-abrams-discusses-her-debt/2f1QHv9iR7YwQ4Ghi3IkJI/

https://www.wabe.org/stacey-abrams-concerns-tax-credit-card-student-loan-debt/

On the positive sides, something that doesn't get emphasized that we should be pushing heavily is that while he was secretary of state, Brian Kemp actually stopped an attempt to hack the Georgia elections netowrk:

https://www.cyberscoop.com/georgia-hack-dhs-brian-kemp-jeh-johnson/

https://www.georgiapol.com/2016/12/08/attempted-network-breach-sos-brian-kemp-wants-answers-us-homeland-security/

http://www.govtech.com/security/Georgia-Election-System-Reportedly-Hacked-by-US-Department-of-Homeland-Security.html

Yeah, I'm having a hard time with Beto vs Cruz (for Texas Senate). My gut tells me to go with Beto; Cruz hasn't been good for Texas. However, POTUS is supporting Cruz. So…is he supporting Cruz just because he's Republican (my only guess)?! I really don't think there's any bad shit on Beto, and he's completely grass roots, no PACs. Ugh decisions.

>>2952942

>https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1037804578907901952

Nice!! Soooooo many entertainers do, it has become so freaking obvious!

Major Deep Dig into Senate Open Seat Elections

I am not very trusting of sites like "real clear politics" anymore. Not since the 2016 election have pollsters gotten it so wrong! You'd think they would have learned their lesson, but nope… they are still trying to be the tail wagging the dog by basically saying "these elections are too close to call" when the GOP is clearly leading. They are trying to INFLUENCE public opinion rather than simply reporting on it. So I decided to really do a deep dig into their sources to find out WHY they have ZERO races "leaning GOP", but have 9 of them as being "Toss ups".

I invite you to come along with me on this journey! Start by going here:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/2018_elections_senate_map.html

The first indication that there is fuckery afoot is that there are a LOT of "Likely Dem" and "Leans Dem", but only ONE "Likely GOP' and ZERO "Leans GOP". There's a lot in the middle, though… including states like Texas, Tennessee, and Montana. SOMETHING is not right here!

To understand how they arrive at these conclusions you have to understand how RCP does their predictive modeling. They take polls and kinda find an "Average" of the +GOP vs +DEM that come out of them. If they are within +/- 3 or so, they say it's "too close to call". However, it's possible to fuck with those averages by including polls from MONTHS ago that favor the +DEM side, which is something I suspect I will find in my investigation.

I begin with the Toss Ups, and just go down the row. Let's investigate!

>>2996038

Arizona

Here we have 3 polls. The first thing that jumps out at me is that the ONLY poll showing a +DEM advantage, is one from 3 fucking months ago. The trend is DEFINITIVELY towards the GOP side!

>ABC 15/OH Predictive Insights 9/5 - 9/6 597 LV 4.0 46 49 McSally +3

>Gravis 9/5 - 9/7 882 LV 5.3 48 49 McSally +1

>Emerson 6/21 - 6/22 650 RV 4.0 40 32 Sinema +8

The next thing to notice is that the +DEM poll has the Republican with only 32% support, and the Democrat with only 40% support. That's an indicator of an EARLY poll being conducted that actually shows a lot of indecision… probably before primaries were concluded? Let's look at the actual PDF of that poll, shall we?

https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-az-6.24.pdf

Huh, this is Sinema vs THREE DIFFERENT GOP candidates! So this was done BEFORE the GOP primary was decided! Huh… How can you possibly use this to determine anything? They yank out 40% support for Sinema, and 32% for McSally… there's a 43/26 split on Ward, and a 54/30 split on Arpaio!

JEEVES, FUCKERY IS AFOOT!

To better understand what the general feeling of Arizona citizens is towards DEM or GOP, look at the REST of the poll showing the intentions of voting for GOVERNOR.

> In the Governor’s race, Republican Governor Doug Ducey leads his GOP opponent Ken Bennett 44% to 22%, with 35% undecided.

Looking at the other polls, what do we notice? TWO of them happened in the last week and show a clear favorite in the GOP Nominee, now that there aren't 3 of them to choose from!

I'm going to call it right now. Arizona is going to the GOP…

1) The trends go that way.

2) This poll is being held by RCP to keep this state in the "toss up" collumn.

3) The Governor, in spite if low approval ratings, is still beating the DEM in polling.

4) General bias against GOP in polling as shown by 2016 results.

>>2996038

Florida

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/fl/florida_senate_scott_vs_nelson-6246.html

Here we see the very same thing going on we saw in Arizona! We have 7 different polls done, but they DOGGEDLY hold on to the one from 6/17 that shows Nelson at +4, and it is the ONLY one with Nelson in the lead. This gives us a +1.7 RCP average, keeping it in the "Toss Up" category.

Let's examine that one, shall we?

http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/Toss%20Up%20Questions_NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll_Florida%20Annotated%20Questionnaire_June%202018.pdf

In this poll, we see that they polled 344 registered Democrats, but only 326 registered Republicans. This was a HUGE tactic used in 2016: Oversampling Democrats. Still, there are only 670 of the 947 polled who are registered as Democrat or Republican. Are there REALLY 277 registered Independant people in this poll? That's quite a lot!

Either way, oversampling and a non-representative sample of registered voters points to there being fuckery afoot here as well.

Looking at the other polling, we show a CLEAR favorite in Rick Scott.

>SurveyUSA 9/7 - 9/9 634 LV 5.3 46 44 Scott +2

>Quinnipiac 8/30 - 9/3 785 LV 4.3 49 49 Tie

>Gravis 8/29 - 8/30 1225 LV 2.8 47 47 Tie

>Florida Atlantic University 8/16 - 8/20 800 RV 3.4 45 39 Scott +6

>Mason-Dixon 7/24 - 7/25 625 LV 4.0 47 44 Scott +3

>CBS News/YouGov 6/19 - 6/22 839 LV – 46 41 Scott +5

>NBC News/Marist 6/17 - 6/21 947 RV 3.9 45 49 Nelson +4

+2, Tie, Tie, +6, +3, and +5…

Let's look at the two "Tie" ones.

First, the Gravis one:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Florida_(August_30_2018).pdf

This poll seems pretty much on the "good" side of polling… 12% of those polled are hispanic or have a member of their immediate family as being Latino, Hispanic, or Spanish Speaking background… 69% of those polled are white… There is no obvious over-sampling of Democrats… but again 33% are independent, which is INCREDIBLE to me that there are so many who claim that.

77% are VERY likely to vote, with only 9% being "Somewhat Likely"…

A big key in this one is to look at some of the other ideologically driven questions… 49% say Kavanaugh is qualified for the USSC. 43% support Brennan's security clearance being revoked (42% oppose)… 39% are more likely to vote for a candidate that supports Kavanaugh's appointment to the USSC (35% would be less likely), so that means Nelson is being given a clear indication: If you want to win this election, you had BETTER vote for Kavanaugh!

Looking at Question 23, the hatered for the MSM is obvious. 49% say they Disapprove of the MSM, with only 41% saying they approve… but look at that 36% that STRONGLY disapprove!

And 51% approve of the border wall!

Moving on to the OTHER "Tie" poll…

https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2566

First question I always ask myself? What is the breakdown of those polled… NOT THE PERCENTAGES, BUT THE RAW NUMBERS! They do not include that in this "press release" version, so you have to go to the "sample and methodology detail" link…

https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/fl/fl09052018_demos_fjya13.pdf/

785 total people polled. 34% GOP, 31% Dem… so good job not oversampling DEMs, Quinnipiac!

Anyway, I can find nothing really wrong with either of these "tie" polls to show any sort of bias…

The bottom line is this… the +4 Nelson poll from 6/17 is bullshit. The RCP average of +1.7 for Scott is thus bullshit.

Without that +4 to Nelson, the RCP average shifts to +2.7 Scott. Still within the MOE of most polling, but definitely a huge swing towards calling this state for the GOP.

I'm going to call it for Scott now.

NEXT!

>>2996038

Indiana

Right away we see touble. The RCP average is +5.7 for the DEMs. Why this is in the "Toss Up" category is a mystery to me. This should PROBABLY be "Leaning DEM" to be honest. We have the Dem, Joe Donnelly, vs the Republican Mike Braun. There are only 3 polls to look at here, and two are pretty out of date…

>NBC News/Marist 8/26 - 8/29 576 LV 5.0 49 43 Donnelly +6

>Trafalgar Group (R) 7/31 - 8/7 1420 LV 2.6 51 39 Donnelly +12

>Gravis 5/10 - 5/15 400 LV 4.9 46 47 Braun +1

Honestly the only one that should be considered at this point is the most recent one… but what's with that +12 one from a month ago?!?

Let's investigate!

https://www.trafalgarstrategy.com/news/in-senate-poll-aug-18/

OH HO! What's this?!?! This is nothing more than a survey report with no methodology shown, and nothing more than baseline results showing support before and after the Kavanaugh Hearing votes!

Donnelly is up 50.7% to 38.6% as a baseline… now that we know THAT, who would you vote for if Donnelly votes FOR Kavanaugh? Oh, 39.4% to 38.5%… but if he votes AGAINST Kavanaugh, 45.3% to 38.0%…

This is not a legitimate poll… and if you click "See Full Report", you have to request access to a google doc? WTF is this bullshit?!?

This poll is 100% not to be trusted!

So let's look at that NBC News one, shall we?

The link given by RCP is to a news report… you have to click another link within that report to get to the nitty-gritty poll numbers… I don't trust NBC to tell me what I need to know… just what they WANT me to know, so I'm going to look into the raw data!

http://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/today/z_creative/NBCNews_MaristPollIndianaAnnotatedQuestionnaire_September2018_1808311755.pdf

955 Adults polled… they break it down by simply "Adults", then "Registered Voters" and then "Likely Voters". That's the one we care about. Notice how we have to dive deep into fine print in a huge wall-of-text paragraph to get the REGISTERED voter data, and the LIKELY voter data… only 576 of these 955 are LIKELY voters. That's a HUGE difference, but RCP is being honest here and that's what they reported on the site… so kudos to them. (Credit where it's due, right?)

A few things to note… you should usually combine "stronly approve" with "approve" (or "Slightly approve") to get overall approval, and do the same with "strongly" or "slightly" disapprove. On the question of approval of Trump as president? We have TOTAL approval of 48%, and total disapproval of 45%… that's a good sign.

Looking at the Generic Ballot for the HOUSE question, the Likely Voters favor the GOP candidate 48% to 44%… which is at odds with the Senate numbers… but a LOT, actually. But that's likely caused by the Libertarian candidate taking 8% of the overall vote… generating a split of 44/41/8…

With that nugget of information, I think we can call Indiana going to the Democrats… but ONLY because of the Libertarian candidate… if the Dems get 45% of the vote for the house, and 44% for the Senate… it stands to reason the libertarian candidate is only stripping 1% from the Dem there, and the other 7% of her support is coming from the GOP. The GOP goes from 48% in the house, to 41% in the Senate race… which kinda explains it all.

I'm a Libertarian myself… and I personally HATE how they are even a political party… they just need to become a wing of the GOP and push the GOP to more libertarian ideals… and stop tanking elections for the GOP!

Conclusion: Indiana stays DEM.

>>2996038

MONTANA

The very first thing to notice here is that there has not been a poll done in Montana for 2 fucking months… which means no polling since Trump's rally there.

The latest poll was a HUGE one with over 2000 people surveyed. 42% are GOP and only 28% are DEM…. that's a very large oversampling of GOP… I just can't understand why this is even a close race…

Keeping it as a Toss Up, mainly because we don't have any current data. Will monitor.

>>2996038

MISSOURI

Here we see that McCaskill has no recent polls where she is leading… two ties, and a +2 GOP.

At least these polls are actually RECENT… two happening in the last month.

Looking at the most recent poll, which came out as a tie:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/poll-high-profile-missouri-senate-race-locked-dead-heat-n906001?cid=sm_npd_nn_tw_ma

Here we have another instance of 3rd Party Fuckery. The Libertarian and Green candidates are stripping 8% support from both candidates. 3% Green stripped from the Dem, 5% Libertarian stripped from the GOP. You can see it in the difference between the HOUSE race poll results, and the Senate poll results. In the house, the GOP has a 43 to 42 advantage. In the Seante, it drops to 40/44.

The key thing to look at here is the favorability of McCaskill… 49% unfavortable, and 41% favorable.

All that said… I think by the time election day comes around, it's likely that we pull out a GOP win.

>>2996038

NEVADA

Here we have a very very old poll from April showing a +1 for the GOP. Looking at the most recent one from this very week, we have a +1 DEM advantage. Let's examine that one!

Out of 500 likely voters, we have a split of 206 GOP vs 208 DEM. Once again we have some 3rd party fuckery, with a libertarian, an independent, an "Independent American"… but it's only 28 of the total, or about 5% in all.

Anyway, nothing stands out in this poll that shows anything going one way or the other. There's a general hatered of Trump here, but that doesn't seem to be reflected in the polling for voting for a party.

Conclusion: Toss up

>>2996038

NORTH DAKOTA

Gravis poll from FUCKING FEBRUARY keeps this RCP average at only a +0.5 for the GOP. The only poll since was in June, and shows Cramer at +4 over Heitkamp.

This one is obviously going to go to the GOP… I'm going to call it now as a GOP victory with a final result being 54% to 46% for the GOP…. yes, a +8 spread!

>>2996038

TENNESSEE

The RCP average shows a +1.3 to the DEM side. We have 3 relatively recent polls, so no fuckery there.

>NBC News/Marist 8/25 - 8/28 538 LV 5.1 48 46 Bredesen +2

>Gravis 8/9 - 8/11 620 LV 3.9 44 48 Blackburn +4

>Emerson 7/11 - 7/14 657 RV 4.1 43 37 Bredesen +6

Notice how the Gravis poll has a MOE of 3.9%, which is covered by the +4 to Blackburn… but the NBC poll has a MOE of 5.1% which is NOT covered by the +2 for Bredesen. If you take half the MOE, and correct towards the center, that means Blackburn is at about a +2 for the Gravis, and at a +1 for the NBC poll. This is a rather tenuous method, for sure, but it points towards there being a slight advantage to the GOP for this state.

Going deeper into the NBC/Marist poll… Here we get some confirmation that the GOP have an advantage. For CONGRESS, there is 50% support for the GOP, compared to 42% for DEMs.

I'm going to call this for Tennessee, but it's going to be only a 2-3% win.

>>2996038

TENNESSEE

The RCP average shows a +1.3 to the DEM side. We have 3 relatively recent polls, so no fuckery there.

>NBC News/Marist 8/25 - 8/28 538 LV 5.1 48 46 Bredesen +2

>Gravis 8/9 - 8/11 620 LV 3.9 44 48 Blackburn +4

>Emerson 7/11 - 7/14 657 RV 4.1 43 37 Bredesen +6

Notice how the Gravis poll has a MOE of 3.9%, which is covered by the +4 to Blackburn… but the NBC poll has a MOE of 5.1% which is NOT covered by the +2 for Bredesen. If you take half the MOE, and correct towards the center, that means Blackburn is at about a +2 for the Gravis, and at a +1 for the NBC poll. This is a rather tenuous method, for sure, but it points towards there being a slight advantage to the GOP for this state.

Going deeper into the NBC/Marist poll… Here we get some confirmation that the GOP have an advantage. For CONGRESS, there is 50% support for the GOP, compared to 42% for DEMs.

I'm going to call this for Tennessee, but it's going to be only a 2-3% win.

>>2996038

TEXAS

What I love about this one is that it's being called a TOSS UP, when not a single poll shows any advantage to "Beto" the fake hispanic… Cruz is at a +3.2 on the RCP average.

>Emerson 8/22 - 8/25 550 RV 4.4 39 38 Cruz +1

>NBC News/Marist 8/12 - 8/16 759 RV 3.8 49 45 Cruz +4

>Quinnipiac 7/26 - 7/31 1138 RV 3.5 49 43 Cruz +6

>Texas Lyceum* 7/9 - 7/26 441 LV 4.7 41 39 Cruz +2

I am not worried about Texas. Cruz wins by 5% to 7%

>>2996038

The bottom line and conclusions.

GOP WINS

Arizona

Florida

North Dakota

Tennessee

Texas

There are 47 safe seats for the GOP. Add the "Likely GOP" seat for Mississippi 2, and you have a base of 48 total seats.

These 5 wins of the supposed "Toss Ups" means the GOP has 53 seats almost guaranteed.

DEM WINS

Indiana

They already have Indiana, so they just retain this seat… the GOP will fail to flip it.

STILL TOSS UP

Missouri

Montana

Nevada

Of those, Montana doesn't have enough information yet to call it either way. Missouri and Nevada have 3rd party fuckery going on… and are STILL toss-ups.

I suspect that the 3rd party influence will diminish as we get closer to the election, if it's known that a 3rd party vote is going to lead to Dems winning.

Assuming we can pull out Montana and Missouri… that gives the GOP 55 seats.

>>2996294

>>2996223

>>2996213

>>2996157

>>2996143

Anon you are a master and a patriot. Let me process this and the other great posts many anons have made for a summary of where we are at.

>>2996143

New Fox News Poll out today shows Cramer +4

>>2996134

New Fox News poll out today shows McCaskill +3

>>2996093

New Fox News poll out today shows Braun +2… so that's quite a flip from the +12 and +6, and shows a trend towards the GOP. I'm going to put Indiana back at a TossUp until we see more data. If we get another +GOP poll we can conclude it'll go GOP in November.

>>2996049

TWO new Arizona polls out today… the one from ABC 15 shown in the original post above had McSally at +3… shortly after posting this, Fox News came out with a new poll showing Sinema +3…

>>2997622

>>2997611

>>2997588

>>2997581

Good GOP Polls

Did you miss this one, please add?

Connecticut Senate

Chris Murphey (D-incombent) v Matthew Corey (R)

https://ctmirror.org/2018/05/11/gop-endorses-matthew-corey-u-s-senate/

https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/connecticut/

Corruption https ://freebeacon.com/politics/top-dems-took-campaign-cash-senator-trial-corruption/ :

Sen. Tim Kaine (D., Va.), Hillary Clinton's former running mate, accepted $10,000 in contributions from the New Millennium PAC in late February of this year.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.) took a $5,000 contribution from Menendez's PAC in early March.

Sen. Debbie Stabenow's (D., Mich.) campaign took $10,000 from Menendez's PAC in late March while Sen. Jon Tester's (D., Mont.) campaign also accepted $10,000 around this time. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand's (D., NY) campaign also took $10,000 in contributions from Menendez's PAC on March 23.

Sen. Chris Murphy's (D., Conn.) campaign received a $5,000 donation from the New Millennium PAC in late June.

http://www .foxnews.com/politics/2018/08/07/sen-chris-murphy-calls-for-more-silicon-valley-censorship-survival-our-democracy-depends-on-it.html

https://www .huffingtonpost.com/entry/chris-murphy-mass-shootings-congress-fault_us_5a84c66ce4b0ab6daf45a676

https://www .mediaite.com/online/it-took-no-time-at-all-for-hillary-clinton-to-fundraise-off-of-chris-murphys-filibuster-heroics/

http://www .courant.com/politics/capitol-watch/hc-chris-murphy-vp-wikileaks-story.html#

https://www .breitbart.com/big-government/2012/09/11/dodd-deja-vu-in-connecticut-senate-candidate-s-mortgage-scandal-brews/

https: //sonsoflibertymedia.com/communist-us-senator-chris-murphy-i-support-the-real-2nd-amendment-not-the-imaginary-2nd-amendment/

https://www .meforum.org/articles/2018/senator-chris-murphy-stands-with-islamists

http://www .trevorloudon.com/2017/07/security-risk-senator-chris-murphys-long-time-communist-staffer/

"Senator Murphy serves on the the Foreign Relations Committee. Senator Blumenthal serves on the Senate Judiciary Committee." http://www .trevorloudon.com/2017/06/hypocrital-connecticut-congressmembers-condemn-trumps-russian-ties-all-are-connected-to-pro-moscow-organizations/

Murphy & Blumenthal are in the top ten

http://www .infiltratednation.com/2014/02/meet-ten-most-liberal.html

"McCain was in the Eastern European nation—along with Democratic Senator Chris Murphy — to cheer on the ongoing right-wing protest movement. In February 2014, this movement was successful: Ukraine’s democratically elected, pro-Russian government was overthrown in a coup, in which fascist forces played a significant role (FAIR.org, 3/7/14)." https:// fair.org/home/john-mccain-human-rights-ukrainian-nazi-photo-washington-post/

https://twitter .com/ChrisMurphyCT/status/890810835408363520

https://downtrend .com/71superb/did-senator-chris-murphy-just-tweet-out-classified-information/

Biebergate

https://www .nbcconnecticut.com/news/local/Rep-Murphys-Case-of-Bieber-Fever-116467398.html

>>2935468 im from MO, claire McCaskill seems like regular dem trash, need to look more into Hawley though.

>>2935446

Move away.

>>2936049

So far, I haven't seen any CmC lawn signs in my south STL neighborhood. I consider this a *good* sign since it's extremely left.

Trump will wait to drop the FISA files right before midterms to crush blue wave

>>2966097

Secured, but you still have to vote. It was unrigged in key counties in 2016. The past 2 years has been more unrigging and more evidence gathering. Watch what happens. Red wave, nigger.

>>3032618

Speculation and opinion spoken like established fact.

Highly illogical you are.

>>2938577

>>>2936081

MICHIGAN ANON IN THE HOUSE!!

I agree that we need to redpill our neighbors and communities to get them on board with John James! He is also a real patriot and not a career politician like Stabenow. Everything he's doing is grassroots so he needs as much help as possible! We need to PRAY and have other supporters do the same thing to get JJ elected. There is some major corruption in the DEQ that I just learned about last week, and it will take a friend of the Michigan people in DC to help clean the MI swamp up!

I don't know about you fags, but I will be doing a full court press starting next month to get people committed to vote and get volunteers lined up to shuttle people to the polls in Nov.

>>3021384

Nice dig, Newfag!

>>2935446

EUfag here, I met some people from California recently. They were pro-Trump but demotivated because of blue state and voter fraud.

Don't give up. There is hope.

>>2934062

Hope WV has potus covered!

>>2996038

Okay, this is kinda crazy…

Since July 19th, the only polling that has been reported have been in the following states:

AZ, CA, CN, DE, FL, IN, ME, MI, MN, MO, NV, NJ, NM, ND, PA, TN, TX, UT, VA, WV, WI

This leaves out:

AL, AR, CO, GA, HI, ID, IL, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MA, MS, MT, NE, NH, NY, NC, OH, OR, RI, SC, SD, VT, WA, and WY.

I find it very difficult to believe that 27 states, over half of them, have not had a poll done on the senate races in almost 2 months!

Just something to keep in mind, we are working with VERY old data right now!

>>3044397

Okay… I'm an idiot… I am a COMPLETE idiot… it's the senate… only 1/3rd of it is elected each cycle… Derp. LOL

Still, numerous states that HAVE races going on have had no polling… NE for example.

>>2996038

I am now going through every single senate race and seeing when the latest polls are, and keeping a spreadsheet on it. There's already 5 races I see who have absolutely NO polling data.

Hawaii isn't likely to ever elect another GOP member of the senate ever again… so no shock there.

There are TWO races in Mississippi, and neither has any polling done. One (MS2) is a special election with an open primary that is being decided ON ELECTION DAY it seems? And then it will advance to another special election once the GOP candidate is decided I guess. Such an odd one.

Maryland has no polling data, but it's not shocking if it goes DEM… half the DC swamp lives in this state.

Nebraska has no polling either, but that's almost certainly going to Deb Fischer… this is my state, and I don't really like her, and may even vote against her in protest… because she's turned into a DC swamp creature herself… depends, though.

Rhode Island, Vermont, and Washington state also have no polling done on them yet… which I find extremely not shocking. All three are DEM strongholds anymore.

Finally there's Wyoming, which is solid red, and has no polling either.

Interesting Races the GOP may actually win!

Bob Menendez in New Jersey is only at a +6 in the polling, and that's from 8/20… so it may have gotten tighter since then. This is one of those states I could see flipping GOP… (After all, they elected Republican Chris Christie as governor, right?)

Will have to monitor.

Another interesting one is Ohio. The latest poll is from 6/21, so it's fairly old. It's also +13 in the favor of the DEMs. However, Trump carried this state… so it's one to watch for new polling data at the very least.

>>3046485

>All three are DEM strongholds anymore.

don't count out WA… Seattle is leftist central no doubt, but the entire Eastern half of the state is crimson red

>>3048000

Nice trips!

Yeah, there's a lot of states like that. Montana, believe it or not… Billings is pretty blue, but the rest of the state red… it's odd how blue centers around urban areas, isn't it? Even in the whitest of whitebread states.

I'm in Nebraska, and District 2 (Omaha and the surrounding metro) almost went to Hillary… the rest of the state is deep red… but Omaha has like 55% of the damn state population!

Isn't it odd, though, how these states are NOT being polled? It's almost like they're afraid of what they'll find.

>>3048364

honestly I don't really trust the polls that do get reported…

But yeah… get the poor rounded up into a dense city and miraculously the idea that rich people should provide free everything catches like wildfire. Even when those poor people are kept poor by leftist ideologies…

HIGHLY RECOMMEND THIS VIDEO

We need to analyze it back through the presidential election. Look at what happened. Bernie was winning states that HIllary was losing. Then states flipped to Trump. We need to continue those waves. Remember - the SOCIALISTS are actually still around and probably would have elected Bernie.

>>3046485

>>3046485

IN PLAY STATES

NEW JERSEY

OHIO

MARYLAND

Would be one proposed area of focus. We need to narrow it down to where we can play the biggest impact in both Senate and House but great work anon.

>>2972819

Diehl is a fake Repub.

>>3051530 The Hill check this out; The political media; Bias;Activism;Smugness;add this to the list as well;Phonyness…!! Anon says ; you mean FAKE News right! Kek that my dear freinds!

The Hill calling out Fake News…Happening!

>>3057221sorry need better punct shunation for impact. Got a get some covfefe this just gets better by the hour. So many files so little time!So much winning…oh my ;KEK.

>>3058847

Fuck's sake… WRONG FUCKING THREAD you muppets! Goddamned Reddit retards…

>>3065148

WRONG FUCKING THREAD, YOU FUCKING MUPPET!

crazy like a fox>>2934181

>>2973857

The sad thing about this state is they'd likely vote in a sick yellow dog if it was on the Democrat ticket. Although, most people here are pretty smart. *almost* went for Trump in '16. Franken only got his senate seat because they kept re-counting until he won (talk about fuckery afoot on the union-heavy Iron Range)

I'd say this state is likely going to go for the Donks on both senate races, and doubtful if the congressional delegation changes a whole lot, unless Klobuchar or Smith do the perp-walk.

MN: htt ps://www.mprnews.org/story/2018/09/16/klobuchar-smith-minnesota-senate-mpr-star-tribune-poll

Tina Smith 44, Karen Housley 37

A.Klobb 60, Jim Newberger 30

But that's MPR, so you could maybe make the case of swinging it about 5pts to the right to get accuracy.

>>2996038

New polls…

New Mexico. Was +18 DEM (8/18), now +21 DEM (9/15)… this state is pretty much a lock for the DEMs

>>2996134

Missouri: Previously a Tie as of 9/11, still a tie as of 9/16. Good sign. Still a toss-up… but then 9/17 another came out showing +3 GOP. Good trend!

>>2996109

Montana: Previously +3 DEM (7/10), now +2 DEM (9/16). Still a Toss Up, but I anticipate come election day, the GOP will prevail.

>>2996223

Texas: Was a +1 GOP (8/25), now +4 (9/16). A good sign with trends going in the right direction.

Last MN post, and then I'll stop shitting up this bread:

Polls in MN are likely not conducted far from the seriously BLUE twin cities metro. There's a lot of people out in the hinterlands that think Trump is the best thing to happen to this nation in a long time, and are absolutely sick of what the Progressives/Dems/DeepState have done. The Smith/Housley race overlaps at one edge of the margin of error, that's pretty damn close for two months out + what The Donald just did and its snowball effects.

A.Klobb (yes, that's a Goldeneye reference) has generally been a good, party-line Democrat and hasn't made waves. The Literal Socialists in the twin shitties would be just thrilled to turn out for another empowered, experienced, liberal woman, expecially since GEOTUS hammered the last one so badly. (Also, these so-open-minded-their-brains-fell-out types just love voting community-organizing activists to executive positions, and then blaming the more conservative types for the failures of their champion post-turtles)

Housley may have a chance. Newberger probably doesn't, not without a LOT of help from the top.

>>3080564

Scratch that… Cruz +9 as of 9/18

Notable poll shift… Michigan's race was +22 for the Dems as of 9/7. It is now +15… that's quite a shift towards the center, and may be an indication of rising black support for Trump.

>>2996157

Notable shift. 9/11 showed a +3 GOP… now as of 9/17 it's +5 DEM… shifting this to a Toss Up.

Something is hinky with this poll, though.. .

>A total of 1,000 adults who live in Tennessee were interviewed by telephone by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 26% described themselves as Democrats, 33% described themselves as Republicans, and 42% described themselves as independents or members of another party.

Only 26% are democrats, yet the democrat has 50% of the vote? SOMETHING is not right here. 42% describing themselves as independent is WAY out of line with the norm…

>>3080573

RCP had MN1 at +15 for the dems… it's now +30… what the fuck? That's not even possible in my mind. How the fuck does that happen? NO OTHER STATE has that big of a swing… the next highest being +25… most being under +22…

MN2 is showing a shift from +9 DEM to +7 DEM… which is far more believable.

>>3080886

Impossible? Probably impossible. Hagedorn is no stranger in MN politics, though. I think he might have been on the primary ticket for the R's after Pawlenty or something. I've heard his name around here a lot and never cared to pay attention.

MN1 is big farm country, so it could be real difficult to beat a democrat there. Drove through that area a couple weeks back, OMG SO MUCH CORN, SO MUCH SOYBEANS. Hard lobbies to beat.

But, WTF for real on that poll swing. Selective polling and editing, I'd bet.

>>3081005

Keep in mind senate voting is state-wide… not just a specific region of the state. BOTH of these seats are being voted on by the very same set of constituents.

>>3081044

Very true, and I bet 90% of them are voting party-line as well. All this dad-fagging & sleep deprivation may be slowing me down a bit.

So, should we say the MN senate races are a 'double or nothing' proposition for either party?

>>2966097

I’m a little worried as well. It’s almost October and the demons think they have the high ground w this bogus kavanaugh scandal.

remember Trump Won! If voting wasn't safe he wouldn't have won

Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota is a known supporter of HRC, BHO, "No Name", Kamala Harris, the Podestas, etc. and DEFINATELY a Globalist. She is also a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee delaying the confirmation of SCOTUS nominee Brett Kavanaugh. There is mystery surrounding the death of her step-sister who was found dead in the Mississippi river 8 years ago. As many know, Minnesota has become a sanctuary for Somali refugees and on the verge of, in my opinion, implementing Sharia Law, hence the State's new nickname "MiniMogadishu". I could really use some help digging on her, the people of Minnesota need all the help we can get to clean out the state capital. There is also controversy surrounding Keith Ellison, who is a known supporter and member of the Muslim Brotherhood and friend of Louis Farakhan. The naïve people of Minnesota are also victims of massive Project MOCKINGBIRD biased media.

http://www.citypages.com/news/body-of-amy-klobuchars-step-sister-katharine-wilkes-found-in-mississippi-6539120

https://www.minnpost.com/political-agenda/2010/07/body-found-mississippi-sen-klobuchars-step-sister/

https://www.revolvy.com/page/Amy-Klobuchar?stype=feedback&cmd=all&w_uid=0

>>3081426

>Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota is a known supporter of HRC, BHO, "No Name", Kamala Harris, the Podestas, etc. and DEFINATELY a Globalist. She is also a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee delaying the confirmation of SCOTUS nominee Brett Kavanaugh. There is mystery surrounding the death of her step-sister who was found dead in the Mississippi river 8 years ago. As many know, Minnesota has become a sanctuary for Somali refugees and on the verge of, in my opinion, implementing Sharia Law, hence the State's new nickname "MiniMogadishu". I could really use some help digging on her, the people of Minnesota need all the help we can get to clean out the state capital. There is also controversy surrounding Keith Ellison, who is a known supporter and member of the Muslim Brotherhood and friend of Louis Farakhan. The naïve people of Minnesota are also victims of massive Project MOCKINGBIRD biased media.http://www.citypages.com/news/body-of-amy-klobuchars-step-sister-katharine-wilkes-found-in-mississippi-6539120https://www.minnpost.com/political-agenda/2010/07/body-found-mississippi-sen-klobuchars-step-sister/https://www.revolvy.com/page/Amy-Klobuchar?stype=feedback&cmd=all&w_uid=0

>>3081005

Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota is a known supporter of HRC, BHO, "No Name", Kamala Harris, the Podestas, etc. and DEFINATELY a Globalist. She is also a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee delaying the confirmation of SCOTUS nominee Brett Kavanaugh. There is mystery surrounding the death of her step-sister who was found dead in the Mississippi river 8 years ago. As many know, Minnesota has become a sanctuary for Somali refugees and on the verge of, in my opinion, implementing Sharia Law, hence the State's new nickname "MiniMogadishu". I could really use some help digging on her, the people of Minnesota need all the help we can get to clean out the state capital. There is also controversy surrounding Keith Ellison, who is a known supporter and member of the Muslim Brotherhood and friend of Louis Farakhan. The naïve people of Minnesota are also victims of massive Project MOCKINGBIRD biased media.

http://www.citypages.com/news/body-of-amy-klobuchars-step-sister-katharine-wilkes-found-in-mississippi-6539120

https://www.minnpost.com/political-agenda/2010/07/body-found-mississippi-sen-klobuchars-step-sister/

https://www.revolvy.com/page/Amy-Klobuchar?stype=feedback&cmd=all&w_uid=0

>>3080418

Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota is a known supporter of HRC, BHO, "No Name", Kamala Harris, the Podestas, etc. and DEFINATELY a Globalist. She is also a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee delaying the confirmation of SCOTUS nominee Brett Kavanaugh. There is mystery surrounding the death of her step-sister who was found dead in the Mississippi river 8 years ago. As many know, Minnesota has become a sanctuary for Somali refugees and on the verge of, in my opinion, implementing Sharia Law, hence the State's new nickname "MiniMogadishu". I could really use some help digging on her, the people of Minnesota need all the help we can get to clean out the state capital. There is also controversy surrounding Keith Ellison, who is a known supporter and member of the Muslim Brotherhood and friend of Louis Farakhan. The naïve people of Minnesota are also victims of massive Project MOCKINGBIRD biased media.

http://www.citypages.com/news/body-of-amy-klobuchars-step-sister-katharine-wilkes-found-in-mississippi-6539120

https://www.minnpost.com/political-agenda/2010/07/body-found-mississippi-sen-klobuchars-step-sister/

https://www.revolvy.com/page/Amy-Klobuchar?stype=feedback&cmd=all&w_uid=0

>>3081834

https://www.politifact.com/texas/statements/2018/aug/22/silvestre-reyes/beto-orourke-arrested-1990s-burglary-and-dwi/

Let's not forget about state level

Texas:

Republican Pete Flores upsets Democrat Pete Gallego in race for Uresti seat

https://www.texastribune.org/2018/09/18/republican-pete-flores-track-upset-race-democratic-friendly-uresti-sea/

>>3087609

This is a senate races thread dude.

Well, the thread does say

"Headquarters 2018 Mid-term. Defend the Senate" This was a state senate seat that was a democrat-friendly area that went to republican.

>>2935446

Good question. The California Senate race is a choice between two Democrats. (((Feinstein))) is bad, and her opponent León is much further left. He attacks her for supporting ICE and for opposing illegal immigration in the 90s. http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-pol-ca-kevin-de-leon-dianne-feinstein-senate-ad-20180918-story.html

>>2947094

Say NO to Beto!

https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be&v=F84qBlzyui4

>>3089248

Yea this is a big post thanks for bringing it. I want to change the thread to ALL elections. We are tracking:

HOUSE

SENATE

GOVERNORS

other local elections if they are big

BUT we need to streamline which I am working on doing given the posts one of these anons made tracking the polling.

Its evolving

BUT YES BIG RECENT WINS FOR US

>>3107552

The real story in Texas is the turnout.

Democrats didn't turn out at all for a Senate seat the GOP HAS NOT WON SINCE THE CIVIL WAR.

>>2935446

Pray for a miracle

>>2935446

Get John Cox elected Gov. Get Omar Navarro to take MaxiPad Waters’ seat

Cox - Endorsed by Trump & Navarro endorsed by G.Flynn

>>3107732

In other words, they were stupid.

>>3107732

>https://www.dallasnews.com/news/2018-elections/2018/09/19/-win-dampens-democrat-hopes-blue-wave-texas-senate

link is dead.

>>2934062

Joe Manchin—West Virginia D Senate

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/08/24/how-a-senators-daughter-became-ceo-of-the-company-at-the-center-of-the-epipen-controversy/?utm_term=.d4e646868d7b

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/08/24/ceo-at-center-of-epipen-price-hike-controversy-is-sen-joe-manchins-daughter/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.0614099cdf33

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/9/20/1572457/-Epipen-Joe-Manchin-s-wife-Mylan-CEO-s-mom-helped-increase-Epipen-sales-in-schools

http://freebeacon.com/politics/joe-manchins-wife-fired-west-virginia-governor/

I have some opposition research and concept for weaponizing it, which is what we do best last I keked.

Currently doing Oppo on Claire and think we could bury her. Remember her telling men to shut up? hooktube.com/watch?v=-yzGA_glnkM

Pair this with Mazie Hirono and her pending no vote on Kavanaugh and it becomes clear that Clair hates men. (we knew this already) but it gets better. She wrote a letter in support of Title IX Kangaroo Courts

www.mccaskill.senate.gov/media-center/news-releases/department-of-education-rescinds-campus-sexual-assault-protectionsmccaskill-statement

www.foxnews.com/us/2015/06/17/accused-is-guilty-campus-rape-tribunals-punish-without-proof-say-critics.html

I suck at making videos, but I will work on connecting her to the man hating and throw in the a line like “Clair Mccaskill want's to take away your sons, your brothers, your husband, and your fathers right to due process. Women, protect good men with your vote, or there will be no good men left to protect you from evil men.” Vote Josh Hawley for senate

I also have proof that Claire is closely connected to Tony Podesta. $5,500 in personal donations, $16250 (2018), 9,000 (2012) 1000 (2006) from Podesta Group. (open secrets) He hosted a fund raiser for her in 2006 at his own home. They are Co-owners of a DC restaurant called Centrolina. I'm thinking about making a video with these facts and I will put pictures of Tony Podesta's Art collection in it. I will end with the question did Tony Podesta ever show you his art collection (you do not want to see it and I won't send it over the internet because the Feds would go after me for distributing child porn.)

www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/in-latest-wikileaks-revelations-mccaskill-is-shown-trying-to-pass/article_4681a5ce-1472-5b4d-ae4e-eaaf608bf59e.html Also good for connecting Claire to Hillary (unforgivable)

www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/08/30/claire-mccaskill-senate-dems-2018-215556 Clair Investor in DC Italian Restaurant Centrolina

joshhawley.com/claire-mccaskill-ultimate-d-c-insider/ They lack the Sauce on things that I wish they had like Podesta owning Italian Restaurant. Open Secrets verifies the Donations and is likely the Sauce for Hawley.

Kek me if you think these are worth pursuing

>>3147400

>I suck at making videos, but I will work on connecting her to the man hating and throw in the a line like “Clair Mccaskill want's to take away your sons, your brothers, your husband, and your fathers right to due process. Women, protect good men with your vote, or there will be no good men left to protect you from evil men.” Vote Josh Hawley for senate

good stuff

Concentrating on the sleeper races to help get some new blood & fresh ideas in the Senate. Rand needs some allies.

>>2938577

>>3042875

>>3080636

>Michigan - Debbie Stabenow (D) v. John James (R)

Listen to an interview with John James and you could come away thinking that he could be the superhero of this election. This guy's inspiring. You know how the DNC is pushing that Beto character? This is how we should be pushing John James. Let them try to attack him. It will expose their hypocrisy for all the nation to see.

Hope he has a debate with Stabenow. He'll wipe the floor with her.

>Pennsylvania - Bob Casey (D) v. Lou Barletta (R)

If you watch the Wilkes-Barre rally, you'll see that Lou (LOU!!!) has a very loyal fan base in his hometown (he was a popular Mayor of Hazelton and is their current Rep). Polished (in a good way) but down-to-earth at same time. Amazing public speaker. Race might be much closer than the polls indicate. A POTUS favorite. We should have his back. Plus, that would be a key state to flip for many reasons.

>New Jersey - Bob Menendez (D) v. Bob Hugin (R)

>>3046485

>Bob Menendez in New Jersey is only at a +6 in the polling, and that's from 8/20… so it may have gotten tighter since then. This is one of those states I could see flipping GOP

Me too. Hugin's a pharma guy, but also a retired Marine (his son is active i think). Also playing possum with POTUS, but it's NJ, so expected. Poll numbers indicate that Menendez could be ripe for slaughter. And he's such an easy target for the meme attacks with him being a pedo slimeball and all.

If NJ flips, POTUS would be pleased as punch being that the "Summer White House" is in Bedminster. Would be a yuge victory for the Red Wave.

Just out yesterday:

https://www.weeklystandard.com/ethan-epstein/can-bob-hugin-unseat-scandal-ridden-bob-menendez

A surprisingly competitive Senate race in New Jersey.

>>2940749

>>2976615

>>2982080

House Very Important!

CIA Agents Running As Democrats In 2018 Elections

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uB73F4AgW74

>>3176149 General #4020

>ImperatorRex / twitter/ 2/2

19. /…with this disgusting smear campaign, as well as in the hearings themselves, ask yourself : The Dems will always have their lunatic supporters, but what will the independent voters think about them? Or traditional Dem supporters? ESPECIALLY the Moms, with sons?

20. IMO, the vast majority will conclude that the Democratic Party of the USA has gone TOTALLY INSANE. If every #MAGA supporter votes, we could be looking at a hollowed out shell of a Dem Party on Nov 7, 2018. A fringe group of extremist leftists, baying at the moon.

21. Strategic objective # 2 (above) - achieved. Back to my first tweet - Don't be distracted by all the hysteria. Trump's people have this situation under control. They have had, for months. The Dems & #FakeNews, drum on arrogance and hatred, just haven't realized it yet.

>>3180437

Have seen similar. Costcos for one are full of this + bash POTUS books for adults. Zero books available that provide a counterpoint.

>>3180491

Note the letter was co-signed by Warner & Kamala. They might be annoyed that ES&S is getting assistance from DHS and not Big Tech.

>>3180491

All jurisdictions should disclose from whom they're getting assistance & what data they're providing to private corporations. Free is never free.

Really good dirt on Sinema in this. It is already out, but good meme material

https://ilovemyfreedom.org/arizona-senate-candidate-kyrsten-sinema-terrorists/?utm_source=brooks&utm_medium=twitter

I live in Florida and what was greatly disturbing is they Infiltrated Our Judicial system and School Boards by putting them on Primary ballots instead of Midterm and No info even given unless you Search Hard to find a minute statement for how the want to be Progressively fighting for Change to steer our children towards a understanding that is helpful to be productive in society! That means No Anthem Walk around hallways with left hand pointy finger over lips and right hand up above head in silence in hallways. This Is Renaissance Charter in Port Saint Lucie I took my child OUT and Homeschooled this yr because if you complain Your child gets punished when you are Not there in ELEMENTARY and No problem with child stabbing your child with pencil or kicking under table. When Your child tells teacher Your child gets Punished! Ms Cox was her name. Anyway FLORIDA NEEDS HELP! They just got in 2 more in school board and 2 judges. State Commissoner has Not released 2008 election results of 117% voting caused Allen West to lose in 08.And in Broward and Dad's Schools and Law have agreed Not to arrest or suspend or expell because $$flow is why that Sheriff has not been fired.! Fort Pierce is a Sanctuary Town from Virginia Avenue to Avenue Q, R, S Etc Jupiter is also they have been attacking our Christian area for YEARS and votes Don't count for Locals. White City is losing its ground against corruption. I work w a program for the govt sub contractor and have been blackballed, audited, harassed because I don't Bend the rules. I even reported abuse and I became the one investigated because witchcraft and locking a person in closet/room etc is parental supervision or forgetting them on a toilet for 3 hrs is FINE. Gertrude Walker was the Lesser of 2 evils WHY DIDNT GOP GIVE US PATRIOTS TO VOTE FOR? I am a very upset voter and go with my Flag, hat and homemade signs to Vote. I try but their fraud is SPECIFICALLY TARGETED! INVESTIGATION needed. We should never have Final vote of our Judges School Board State& local Commissioners Agriculture etc This need to be changed Nationally. All Important positions voted on in MIDTERM and General election. Only multi choice for same position on same party candidates should win spot to Run that should be a debate or platform to a midterm vote. Not 1200 people pic judges or school board leaders!, but at least Midterm level of voters. The School board WINNER Delegated 2million for golf etc to Relax those Stressed teachers AND WE HAVE NO CHALK OR construction paper! Many of my friends didn't even know these people or position were running races. This is just in Saint Lucie county. Please help. God bless and Thank you

>>3192724

now that you have gotten everything off your chest… why not give the anons specific names, places, dates, and details of who is corrupt, and who is not corrupt?

so far we have:

Renaissance Charter in Port Saint Lucie, Ms Cox

Fort Pierce is a Sanctuary Town from Virginia Avenue to Avenue Q, R, S

White City is losing its ground against corruption…

we need more to work with…

>>3080561

Im not exactly impressed with the alternatives. I will fight just to help trump, but cant we get something better in there? journalist puncher Gianforte? Really? Im a rancher Rosendale? Really? Cmon man. Im so sick of all politicians it aint even funny. Trump! Buddah, Im gonna vote against my wishes just to help you out brother. Hope you and your staff know what your doin. Im just saying.

If the fucking Republicans don't get Kavanaugh passed I'm fucking staying home

there is no dipshit deepstate excuse expecially after Q has "everything"

they have "everything" but cant get a few votes

this is fucking ridiculous

>>3202932

That county level map is a HUGE red pill.

Normies dont know that.

Pretty hard to say that hillcunt "won" the popular vote huh?

>>2935446

Same thing I can do in Washington.

GEt the fuck out of the CITY, or get the fuck out of the state. Problem? Look at the Electoral college county map.

EVERY MAJOR CITY IS BLUE…minus just a couple. Anchorage AK? VEry midwest cities (OK NE SD?) that is about it.

Good news! Already had 2 people knock on the door advocating to vote for R candidates in a largely D state; have never seen this happen before

To ALL who are QUESTIONING what is going on…..A Republican who stays at home like a little bitch and doesn't get out and VOTE in November means a Demonrat vote. The DEMS want us divided and want US to PANIC!!!! WE are STRONGER than they ever will be. VOTE RED/VOTE REPUBLICAN no matter what. Our country depends on each and every one of us! STAY STONG!

>>2935446

Leave and don't look back

>>2996109

I have your answer. The reason the race in MT appears to be an anomaly is this: in 2008 Tester ONLY won due to voter fraud by stuffing of ballots at the polling stations by DEM operatives. Yep. Really happened. THEN… when the evidence was gathered and it went to court… The case got tossed. Yep. really happened. So.. MT has Tester. Now… MT does not use electronic voting machines. Mostly uses paper ballot that then gets scanned, then tallies etc. MT also uses ID…meaning a form of ID is required. in MT Driver's Lic requirements are Birth Certificate or Passport. Period. So… with things so locked down how could voting fraud occur? ballot stuffing is one way. MT has several different Native American reservations… LOTS of fraud occurs there. The belief is that MT is used as a testing ground for voting fraud practices to see what works and what does not. Absentee Ballot fraud is also rampant due to the large population of elderly voters in the state. MT is a most definitely a RED state… so why does MT have a very BLUE Senator and Governor? Voting fraud is the only way. On the local levels… the Dems really DO run as Repubs in order to get into office then… their true colors come out. Its a thang here folks. Do NOT discount this race.

.

>>2990452

I have found some interesting things about Beto. His mother pled guilty to money-laundering, his dad (a federal judge) had a cocaine habit, Beto has voted nay on every border security issue. He is worth $9m. After being a city council person and running a small graphic design firm???

>>2944558

it's not over yet.

>>3254475

addition info…

list of campaign donors - https://votesmart.org/candidate/campaign-finance/72650/andrew-gillum#.W7AXg3tKiUk

donations by industry - https://www.followthemoney.org/entity-details?eid=165134

>>3044178

Patrick Morrisey is a trash human being. Career politician, carpet bagger, lobbyist for big pharma and soulless human detritus

he settled wv's lawsuits against large pharmaceutical companies for a pittance

Once he was elected as the states ag he settled wv's lawsuits against large pharmaceutical companies for a pittance

These same companies Morrisey and his wife used to lobby for by the way

His wife was paid the order of around 1.5 million shortly before Morrisey settled the lawsuit.

He has done absolutely nothing to combat opiate addiction in this state and is running off the dollars stolen from the corpses of west virginias overdose victims.

>>3261659

BUT WILL SIDE WITH TRUMP IN ALL VOTES SO O WELL. THE END JUSTIFIES THE….Memes?

Helpful Tools

Create Your Own Senate Map: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/create_your_own_senate_map.html

U.S. Senate Races 2018

Nevada

Dean Heller (R) v. Jacky Rosen (D)

2016 Results: Tennessee voted for Trump overwhelming and polled extremely high for Trump. The final was +26 points for Trump and he was polling +10 into the election.

2018 Senate Race: Nevada went for Clinton by a small margin.

Tennessee

Marsha Blackburn (R) v. Phil Bredesen (D)

2016 Results: Tennessee voted for Trump overwhelming and polled extremely high for Trump. The final was +26 points for Trump and he was polling +10 into the election.

2018 Senate Race: As for Marsha Blackburn, it is now a dead tie on an average basis. Polls are coming out along bias expectations (CNN has Bredesen +5 and FOX has Blackburn +5.

Missouri

Josh Hawley (R) v. Claire McCaskill (D)

2016 Results: Trump polled at +11 into the election and finished +18.5.

2018 Senate Race: Josh Hawley has pulled ahead by +1 in the average and has polled higher in the last several polls by about the margin of error.

Texas

Ted Cruz (R) v. Beto O'Rourke (D)

2016 Results: Trump won by +10 and polled consistently above +10 into 2016.

2018 Senate Race: Ted Cruz has pulled ahead late in the race and has polled ahead in the last five polls and sits on average ahead +5.

>>3264733

Sorry, Early voting in texas ends on

November 2nd, 2018. My apologies

for the typo.

vote vote vote vote people! Straight red ticket!

>>3264733

https://www.redstate.com/brandon_morse/2018/10/01/beto-orourke-flagged-campaign-finance-violations/

So, I pull up the Fox Live Stream and what do I hear?

"November Rain", Guns -n- Roses.

TOP. FUKK'N. KEK!!!

>>2955327

Life is a Cabaret = $$$$$

“How do "public servants" increase their wealth so quickly? Sen. Patty Murray of Washington, the committee’s ranking minority member, enjoyed an 88 percent increase in net worth, going from $817,008 to $1,524,509”

Daily Caller 20 January 2017. Mark Tapscott

Coyc: dailycaller.com/2017/01/20/senate-dems-targeting-rep-price-are-getting-richer-3x-faster/

Does Q support Amy McGrath or Andy Barr?

>>3193361

>>3254475

FL is fucked or on the verge. I live here too . The school system has been totally eroded and if you can homeschool you do.

BREITBART did. A piece a while back on how Jeb did the giant money grab in charters…it was also the opportunity to make sure the kids got dummed down with commie core (cuz with all these new schools you have to have a unifoed standard)

I've actually gone full circle on the issue and post parkland i think lots of small charters are the way to go -3,500 kids in a bldg are tooo much.

Now, as foe anons:

1. Gillum is no nobody- he was shortlisted with Tim coKAINE for VP along with Muhtar Kent. Yiu can find it in Wikileaks

https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/15616

So, if the anons are watching, think sbout this…gov race here is going to require attention.

PALM BEACH, BROWARD are hot beds of insidious demorat inculcation. West palm gave us Lois Frankel (who isnt bright, but is a stark raving mad bipolar lunatic…just get her in a staff meeeting….paying attention Veritas?)

Deputty or assistant cnty administrator for PBC is a black woman out of St. Lucie or martin county FAYE OUTLAW (but she just cjanged her nsme back to the maiden name (not sure what). She used a county facility for her daughters wedding withiut paying for it (big nomoo)

Verdenia Baker is PBC administrator and couldnt resist the opty to raise taxes for school infrastructures…itll never go away…despite hire ad valorem rax revenue dur to increeased property values. Why? incompetence. Bob Weisman was the last cnty adminitrator and republicsn and he left her things in decent order. Another 3 years and well be chicongo.

>>2997581

>>2996143

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/new-poll-suggests-heidi-heitkamp-in-trouble-if-she-votes-against-kavanaugh

https://www.myndnow.com/news/bismarck-news/heidi-heitkamp-says-she-will-vote-no-on-brett-kavanaugh/1498031613

New ND poll shows Heitcamp is totally losing support… it went from "toss up" to "leans GOP"

>>2935446

John Cox

Omar Navarro

I'm with you.

>>2936049

Kc area, eff claire!

>>2936049

Kc area, fuck claire!

Complacency should be stressed before midterms. A lesson learned from POTUS election was to never become complacent. The left trusted the polls and were blind sided. We should take heed and not allow our hubris to cloud the objective or what polls are claiming. We must continue to press hard and flip as many as possible before mids.

>>3358321

>>3152253

>>3129466

>>3093909

>>3149202

>>3148252

>>3128361

>>3129473

>>3129990

>>3130843

>>3131628

>>3139282

>>3140525

>>3108838

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>>3144119

>>3148111

>>3151771

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>>3165218

>>3166993

>>3196152

>>3196056

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>>3197881

>>3217731

>>3217944

>>3221116

>>3240174

>>3246362

>>3258763

>>3256757

>>3259438

>>3259574

>>3289034

>>3264632

>>3268640

>>3268277

>>3275285

>>3273200

>>3272845

>>3272291

>>3290847

>>3287896

>>3288967

>>3306206

>>3296467

>>3306612

>>3294799

>>3325503

>>3341663

>>3341757

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>>3325474

>>3328232

>>3329202

>>3342466

>>3358321

>>3361621

>>3361932

>>3360615

>>3290696 (KEK, "been here since the beginning" but posts in the wrong fucking thread? Suuuuure)

>>3275968

>>3180437

FOR FUCK'S SAKE YOU FUCKING IDIOT NOOBS FROM REDDIT!!!

THIS IS NOT A BREAD FOR POSTING GENERAL SHIT! THIS IS SPECIFICALLY A THREAD ABOUT THE 2018 SENATE RACES, AND YOU'RE SHITTING IT UP WITH YOUR STUPID BULLSHIT OFF TOPIC POSTS!!!

LURK MORE, STOP POSTING UNTIL YOU KNOW HOW THIS BOARD WORKS, YOU FUCKING RETARDS!

BO/BV, please delete every single one of those above linked posts! NONE of them have anything to do with the midterms, or are anywhere NEAR the topic of this thread!

Notable Poll shifts

Tennessee

Polls shifted from +5DEM to +5GOP in 1 month between 9/11 and 10/4.

Calling it for the GOP at this point.

North Dakota

Was +4GOP on 9/11, now +12GOP, and shifted to "likely GOP" on RCP.

Arizona

On 9/17, was +7DEM, now +2DEM as of 10/4

California

This is rather notable… Feinstein was at +22, and is now only +11… in fucking California?

Delaware

On 9/27, a poll came out as +37 DEM, a very VERY large departure from the previous +8DEM figure from 7/29… very odd.

Rhode Island

We got our first RI poll of the year on 9/21, showing a +19DEM margin.

Not shocked.

Maryland

We got our first Maryland poll of the year on 9/19, showing a +39DEM margin.

Not shocked.

>>3362274

Current "wins" for the GOP:

Arizona, Florida, Indiana, Mississippi 1, Mississippi 2, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Wyoming.

GOP wins 13 of the current races.

4 are considered safe. (UT, WY, NE, MS1)

1 is considered "likely" (MS2)

1 is considered "leaning" (ND)

Those give us 48 total Senators for the GOP.

The current "toss up" states on RCP that I am calling for the GOP:

MT, AZ, TX, MO, TN, FL, IN

That's 7 of the current 8 "toss up" states that are going to swing to the GOP. The only toss up that I have currently going DEM is Nevada.

FLIPS

DEMS flip Nevada

GOP flips ND, FL, IN, MT, and MO.

Net gain: GOP +4

>>3365773

Yeah, no shit you're new… you just posted in a pinned thread regarding ONLY the Senate 2018 elections… fucking off topic dude… go to a RESEARCH thread.

>>3353375

You can say that again

I want to share a bit about my beloved state in the hopes of winning in November…

Montana is unique. There are one million people - mostly conservatives - scattered throughout the very rural, very mountainous state. Many of these folks WILL NOT VOTE due to proximity, health, poverty, age, and other factors. Montana cities can be many hundreds of miles apart. This is why we have been (called) a BLUE STATE, despite the fact that most Montanans are actually gun owning, flag waving, vet supporting, pledge saying, National Anthem standing, Conservative Patriots who fucking hate Communism. We also have a Libertarian state constitution and a TON of state pride. We are likely one of the most armed states in the union. Ask any real Montanan who didn't come here from CA to go to our Universities and poison our politics.

A couple of cities in MT with huge University systems, therefore, make up most of the MT vote. They target 18 y/o students from CA to vote for Communism and slap the face of hardworking Montanans. They also censor the public, punish any dissenters who are employed within or around their Uni systems (this is a hugely important point and a big reason we LOSE elections here: U system employs everyone here - it's the biggest economy, so add censorship and firings from them and then no one here can speak or they lose their livelihood; that is why we need outside help).

Because the Universities in the great state of MT employ so much of the citys' professional workforce, many are unable to speak out either in support of Trump or against Communism. This keeps the state BLUE.

THIS MEANS WE NEED YOUR HELP, AND THE HELP OF THE CHANS AND ANONS

WE NEED A MEME FORCE TO HIT MONTANA THE LIKES OF WHICH THE WORLD HAS NEVER SEEN - AND THIS IS TRUE IN OTHER SWING STATES AS WELL. PLEASE SHARE FAR AND WIDE AND PLEASE HELP. TESTER IS FALLING IN THE POLLS SINCE K CONFIRMATION AND SO THE RACE IS CLOSE, AMERICA CAN WIN. THANK YOU DIGITAL WARRIORS FOR THINKING OF MONTANA. WWG1WGA

RED STATE D'S THAT VOTED NO ON JUSTICE K:

TAMMY BALDWIN - N - WISCONSIN

SHERROD BROWN - N - OHIO

BOB CASEY - N - PENNSYLVANIA

JOE DONNELLY - N - INDIANA

HEIDI HEITKAMP - N - NORTH DAKOTA

DOUG JONES - N - ALABAMA

CLAIRE McCASKILL - N - MISSOURI

BILL NELSON - N - FLORDIA

JON TESTER - N - MONTANA

FIRE AT WILL

>>3379629

THANK YOU FOR GETTING THIS TO TWITTER @WeRFedUp I don't do twatter!

BONUS: Poll has Cruz seen as more honest than Beto the Beta.

https://twitter.com/evanasmith/status/1048955628192976896

In new @CBSNews poll, @tedcruz viewed as more honest and trustworthy and more relatable than @BetoORourke https://drive.google.com/file/d/0ByVu4fDHYJgVaklGeEF1VjkxcEJUdEl4ZzBWek5Ud09ac3JJ/view … #txsen #tx2018

Q, how do we turn Maryland???

>>3390876

Well done, idiot! Good job posting this bullshit in a thread titled

"DEFEND THE SENATE 2018"

Fucking retards need to stop with this bullshit already!

BIG NEWS

Texas just got changed from Toss-up to Leans GOP.

Q…Bill Schuette running for Governor in Michigan…I haven't seen ONE campaign ad so far from him and John James (for senate) has ran a few.

Meanwhile Stabenow and Whitmer are running a ton of ads. Someone needs to stick their foot up Schuette and James ass and tell them to get to work.

>>3402723

Wow, glad I caught this. I’m an independent Trump voter from MA. Diehl is actually my local rep. There’s a significant shift among the blue collar/union voters who used to vote the union backed Dem, who are at least half #MAGA/Trump at this point, judging by the temperature on job sites and the Diehl stickers on personal vehicles, etc. I will spread this message personally, and swing my vote.

>>3405917

If you factor in massive voter fraud in some (or all?) of the counties Clinton "won" then I believe she probably didn't get the victory in the popular vote, either.

Q is there anyway to level the playing field and make Ggle twatter YT to stop this censorship crap it is giving justinform grief censorship sucks. Q

The Brett Kavanaugh vote had no chance of ever being 47-53. President Trump told Steve Daines to attend his daughter's wedding because they already had the vote in the bag. The most possible was 47-52.Top notch move by POTUS! In addition to the 47-53 possibly referring to the Judge Towers supreme court vote that was blocked due to sex allegations in 1989, it may also refer to Steve Mnuchin's confirmation vote by the Senate to be the Treasury Secretary (2017).

It sucks to hear someone who needs help and all we can do is listen. WWG1WGA

Analysis of more congressional races tomorrow…

The Republicans can keep control the House of Representatives, and increase the number os seats they hold if we take action to help these contested races.

If any of you know more detail about any of the races that the MSM is calling for the Democrats, please post it here.

435 separate races are a lot to keep track of, but we have more than enough autism to keep track of the important ones.

Post what other info you've got, correct me where I fucked up, create memes to help us win these races…

NEW POLLS

Arizona showing +6 for the GOP candidate!

Nevada showing +2 now for the GOP candidate!

>>3425118

Is CIVILity and Safety the new code words for Civil War means Safety for HRC Crew?

>>3425327

Is this why the President said Vote Early because THEY have BS planned for election day?

>>3425327

this bitch is scared! Trying to get the few remaining sheeple to start a civil war so she won't be arrested and sentenced to DEATH!

TEXANS-

Early voting begins October 22

Here's good site that lists what's on the state wide ballot, however you also have local issues to vote on. ESPECIALLY CONGRESS CRITTERS.

https://apps.texastribune.org/features/2018/texas-midterm-election-ballot-tool/

(yes the site is a bit lefty)

There is a lot of emphasis to VOTE EARLY from POTUS, plus you skip the lines on voting day.

>>3418653

Dallas is also liberal, locally. Sam Johnston has retired (he's ancient, really old). The republican is Van Taylor. The diversity question and Cali transplants are going to be in the McKinney/Frisco/Plano/Allen if they have kids needing public schools. McKinney is loaded with illegals. This area also has a huge Muslim population (Plano).

Is this something the cabal has control of Q? Are they creating the hurricanes with this HAARP apparatus? I pray we win this fight!

https://www.wanttoknow.info/war/haarp_weather_modification_electromagnetic_warfare_weapons