I believe there's a few Harrell vidya about it
https://youtu.be/z4BZ-7tpQzc
The thesis being that at longer ranges, 22lr out of a rifle gets into the domain of pistols. It appears that (except the federal) your threshold for expansion is somewhere near the speed of sound, ~1000 fps
Velocity should be about 1100-1400 out of a rifle, depending on your setup, and will drop to somewhere in the 950-1200 @ 100yds. Seems likely expansion would happen