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/liberty/ - Liberty

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WARNING! Free Speech Zone - all local trashcans will be targeted for destruction by Antifa.

File: 190e8c272598e98⋯.jpg (158.46 KB, 971x1200, 971:1200, 1434507337583-2.jpg)

 No.85601

https://arxiv.org/abs/1002.2284

> I prove that if markets are weak-form efficient, meaning current prices fully reflect all information available in past prices, then P = NP, meaning every computational problem whose solution can be verified in polynomial time can also be solved in polynomial time. I also prove the converse by showing how we can "program" the market to solve NP-complete problems. Since P probably does not equal NP, markets are probably not efficient. Specifically, markets become increasingly inefficient as the time series lengthens or becomes more frequent. An illustration by way of partitioning the excess returns to momentum strategies based on data availability confirms this prediction.

Looks like we should have read SICP instead of the Fountainhead.

 No.85612

>>85601

>another attempt at "mathing"

Here we gi again.


 No.85613

File: 9cc336b71260152⋯.png (144.92 KB, 702x397, 702:397, ん?.png)

>In short, if P ≠ NP, then the market cannot be efficient for very long because the ability of investors to check all strategies will be quickly overwhelmed by the exponential number of possible strategies there are to check. Contrariwise, if indeed P = NP, then the market will be efficient because all possible strategies can be quickly checked in polynomial time. Therefore, the market is efficient if and only if P = NP.


 No.85614

File: 0d644ed35c40c98⋯.jpg (32.3 KB, 400x389, 400:389, 0d644ed35c40c9869e1022099c….jpg)

>>85613

>investors can't be trusted to immediately rule out retarded strategies like building a bridge out of legos as opposed to steel


 No.85616

>>85614

It doesn't seem to be a matter of trust.

>The results of this paper should not be interpreted as support for government intervention into the market; on the contrary, the fact that market efficiency and computational efficiency are linked suggests that government should no more intervene in the market or regulate market participants than it should intervene in computations or regulate computer algorithms.

The obvious problem is defining efficiency with using past prices to calculate, which the author didn't come up with.


 No.85641

>>85601

>>85616

It also doesn't mean that planned economies are any more efficient since they can't check solutions for their predictions in time either.


 No.85643

>>85614

What about steel legos? We neee to investigate this possibility.


 No.85644

>>85643

Pretend stepping on a steel lego. We cannot let the world end like this


 No.85655


 No.85975

>>85601

This paper is pretty much correct except its pointless. The paper does not actually mean that some socialist system is going to be able to do resource allocation efficiently.


 No.85987

>current prices fully reflect all information available in past prices

I thought current prices are due to current supply-demand information. Why is the author delving into past information? Wouldn't said past information be obsolete?


 No.86019

>>85987

>Why is the author delving into past information

Information propagates through market signals its not an instantaneous system. The information you have for assigning values now is from the past.


 No.86052

File: 950a88382974514⋯.jpg (9.42 KB, 255x255, 1:1, constanza batting up.jpg)

>>85601

>The results of this paper should not be interpreted as support for government intervention into the market; on the contrary, the fact that market efficiency and computational efficiency are linked suggests that government should no more intervene in the market or regulate market participants than it should intervene in computations or regulate computer algorithms.


 No.86063

YouTube embed. Click thumbnail to play.

>>85601

>P = NP

>NP

more leik NAP amirite lads??


 No.86072

>>85987

Nothing can travel faster than the speed of the light.


 No.86078

>>86072

Nigger


 No.86083

>>86078

Good post!




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