>>637083
Well Russia and Ukraine have some artillery duel planned for orthodox Christmas next week but even if Russia invades a sizeable part of Ukraine (to fix Crimea access to non-salty water, for example) it's extremely dubious it could escalate beyond means words as there are no troops to speak of in Europe.
>>637087
>Russia lacks troops and everything in general.
Russia is exactly like Germany in 1939, they would win tactically if they strike tomorrow because of how few and largely shitty the opposition is and bitchslap their way to Berlin but they wouldn't be able to sustain their advance all the way to prevent an US & cie counter-attack.
And despite the MSM kvetching Putin is no Hitler, Putin has a very risk adverse policy, he will defends Russian interests but always with the minimal application of force, almost to the point of meekness.
Israel has been kvetching about Iran for ages but nobody will do anything about it, first Iran isn't Iraq (much bigger, way more "afghanistaner" geographically, far less 80 IQ retards, actual understanding that missiles are everything, threadly reminder that Saddam never had ATGMs for taste reasons, when Iran is one of the world most prolific builder of them, etc…), China far more than Russia can and will back them directly with supplies as they're their main energy provider. The US would still win but it would be far bloodier than Iraq 2003.
For you Venezuela IMHO should be much more of a concern, Russia parking strategic bombers there is the same move the US does when they park ships in Taiwan. It's not to threatens the US (if they wanted to do that they would park in Cuba) but to deter what they think is an actual intervention in planning (Russia had already done it around Chavez death).