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/ratanon/ - Rationalists Anonymous

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File: f2b78860d3f29ea⋯.jpg (42.36 KB, 640x410, 64:41, neonbayes.jpg)

 No.8489

When was the last time you updated your beliefs?

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 No.8490

I updated your mom's beliefs with my dick.

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 No.8491

I updated to "probably doesn't have a psychosomatic ailment" from "might have a psychosomatic ailment" after going through a test that found some body parts that had stuff going wrong with them.

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 No.8492

>>8491

A common mistake. Psychosomatic ailments can make stuff go wrong with your body parts.

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 No.8493

Has anyone EVER actually used Bayes Theorem to update your beliefs?

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 No.8495

>>8493

I haven't. Using it requires priors with numbers. I usually don't have numbers for anything.

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 No.8496

>>8493

>>8495

You're not meant to formally update beliefs using the equation, that kind of "use System 2 for everything" attitude is Straw Vulcan rationalism anyway; just internalise the theorem and think about evidence and arguments and beliefs in that framework.

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 No.8497

>>8496

>You're not meant to formally update beliefs using the equation

I dunno. That sounds pretty amazing.

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 No.8498

>>8495

Just put numbers on them then, and adjust with time.

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