/liberty/ - Liberty

>>74476

>>74480

>>74486

When should we expect this and should we short the Chinese market? Short positions are at an all time low.

>>74645

>>74654

Trying to see what the next step of the Chink is:

>play fast and lose with interest rates post recession to attract investment

>encourage the average chink to invest in a speculative bubble

>artificially crash the economy and exhaust your reserves

>nothing the bubble economy has created has actually generated value and you need to devalue the currency

>the rich are bribing officials to flee the country and dump their gains in real estate

>>74657

also

>nobody of any worth wants to buy the shitty products you're creating, they want foreign products

>annual growth is slowing

>devaluation of wages means the chinese consumer is worthless

>inflated land prices mean a ridiculous cost in living

>the divide between rich and poor will grow as the poor simply can't afford to live and work in the cities

>anyone who's rich will move abroad

>even if the communist government wants to use them as a fifth column, democracies treat their bourgeois better and they don't have to deal with authoritarian bullshit

>if they stop capital flight, the rich are going to turn on the government

>showdown of communism v. capitalism: will the central government use the peasantry to destroy the specialist base they spent so long cultivating

>if they do they return to the stone age

>if they don't communism will end

>the peasantry are getting online and using cryptos

>the government is attempting to ban it due it being a means of capital flight

>the average person doesn't get better wages and cannot invest thanks to government policy restricting free movement of capital trying to prevent state run industry from failing (in creative destruction as investment shifts to more profitable ventures abroad) and creating a massive unemployment issue

I expect France 1968 or Britain 1970s, the latter if they have an oil / energy crisis.

>>74661

>subversive groups hijack encrypted comms lines and social media due to displeasure with policy

>government will attempt censorship and crackdown but the more they do so the more obvious that the central policy of the communist party is at odds with the needs of the average person, and also takes away their bread and circuses

>advances in automation outside of the nation will render the chinese factory worker obsolete, while the government attempts to suppress its own industry over its subversion and the possibility the innovations could lead to umemployment

>there will be a lack of trained specialists needed to take advantage of the new technology, anyone that moves abroad to study just leaves the country

>investment into the nation will decline due to an uneducated and suppressed worker base producing inferior products

>deterioration in living conditions as they cannot find employment, and an entire urban generation will have no understanding of the farming and hard labour their forebears performed either

>military spending or government investment programs will fall flat due to increasing inflation and lack of funds

>a billion angry poor chinamen

>if they open up foreign exchange or cryptos, it will lead to a collapse of the USSR situation due to massive capital flight

>the only way they can bail themselves out is if they tie their currency to gold or establish a national crypto and leave it to float after giving up all financial power

>if they give up financial power, the communist party is over

>if they don't, they will try to maintain a fixed exchange rate against international markets trying desperately to dig up more gold to prevent deflation and hoarding, or the opposite situation of inflation forcing a withdrawal of currency ala Britain v. George Soros in the 90s

>>74441

World Domination as a Proxy for the blackcube elite