>>618556
>All had already formed stable societies by the end of the VI century (e.g. kingdom of Lombards), most even by the end of the V (e.g. kingdom of Franks, kingdom of Visigoths).
Societies so stable that the size of their realms were constantly waxing and waning for centuries, then they completely disappeared.
>by the end of the VIII some dude - named Charles, or something - even managed to build another empire!
That was impossible to maintain with their limited bureaucracy and broke down to smaller, more stable pieces.
>Of course when you take arbitrarily long periods and arbitrarily large regions you'll see an increase in these things
I'm quite flabbergasted. So you don't deny that stability, urbanization and trade all were increasing in the previous period, in that period, and the period following this. Yet you can't entertain the idea that it's because they are all part of the same process, and it's not just the result of a long chain of unrelated events.
>what you're conveniently ignoring is that there were multiple stumbling points along the way, and at times large regions saw a long-term decrease in those things you mentioned: such as Italy getting irrelevant due to having no access to the Atlantic and no national-level state, then Spain and Portugal losing power, riches and trade in favor of France and England due to a multitude of reasons
So did Italy revert into a peninsula of cannibal niggers when the centre of trade and culture shifted away from there? Or what is your point? There is also a smaller cycle described by Glubb (pdf related), and that's about this shifting of power. But that doesn't impact the greater of process of a high culture turning into a civilization under 1000 years.
>Or would you rather play the "ah, only the couple empires in this list where the reasons I listed could be more or less applied are *true* empires!" card?
Define what makes an empire an empire then, and we can speak.
>After all, you seem prone to define words as you please, and as fits your purposes.
Yes, because I'm the one who says that the name of the we wuz Romanz'n'shiiett movement of Italy can describe the trade, warfare and politics of a few centuries of Europe. Of course, it's not the same few centuries everywhere.
>Barbarossa is an example of how even for a relatively simple event, very limited in both time and space, a fatalistic approach to history hinders its understanding.
A simple traffic accident is an infinitely complex event, to fully understand it you'd have to push the bounds of physics and chemistry, and even biology if you want to account for the way the people who were part of it acted. Does it mean that we can't discuss how humans travel, because that would make us blind to a specific event?
>>618689
>This genus of theories, I suspect, stems from the fact that Western consciousness is inevitably marked by the Western Roman Empire
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mandate_of_Heaven
It seems like the chinks were so scarred by the fall of Rome that they developed a semi-religious doctrine based on the constant rise and fall of their dynasties. Mind you, this is about the "cycle of Glubb", and how even they observed it completely independent of Europe. Spengler's theory isn't about the world "going to shit". It's about the difference between culture and civilization, and how civilizations will inevitably go back to the politics of power despite all their sophistication. And it doesn't paint that in a morally positive or negative picture, he just says that this is how life goes on.
>all phases of all civilization ever since the Greeks
That reminds me, you should define civilization for us.
>>618753
>Studying features inherent to empires, and how those participate in their fall, could have an interest, although I suspect it wouldn't be a very deep field and would soon precipitate into sophisms. However, I don't think those should be the focus (especially since it seems to inevitably be at the expense of the study of the specific causes, as this thread helps to show), and I don't think you can ever point out any single commonality as a leading cause of fall (not to speak of how those commonalities often cannot even be applied, as I've already argued).
It's like saying that medical research shouldn't involve the study of aging, because people don't just get old and die. They usually break their bones, die to a common cold, get a stroke, get a heart attack, get cancer, or die because of some other reason. But not because they get old, and many people die well before they get old, therefore trying to understand why and how people grow old will make us blind to the real reasons of people dying. Does that really make sense for you?